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New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Preview 09/07/18

Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Mariners will do battle against the New York Yankees at Safeco Field. The game gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET and this AL showdown will be shown on both RTNW and YES.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Vegas is listing New York (+100) as the underdog to Seattle (-110). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over 7.5 runs and -120 for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Yankees +1.5 runs (-210) and Mariners -1.5 runs (+175).

The Yankees are 87-53 SU and are 69-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.2 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 78-62 SU and 68-72 ATS. The team has gained 12.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 10.9 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Seattle games have had an over/under record of 69-69-2 in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 63-70-7.

Right-hander Masahiro Tanaka is the probable starter for the visiting Bronx Bombers. Tanaka (10-5, 3.83 ERA) has racked up 134 punchouts in 134 innings so far. This will be his first start against Seattle this year. He made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record with a 3.46 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

The Mariners are turning to lefty James Paxton (11-5, 3.74 ERA), who’s got 186 strikeouts and 41 walks as well as a 1.11 WHIP. Paxton is 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against New York this year.

As a unit, Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.33, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

Seattle’s offense is putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .250/.330/.405 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Mariners’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Mitch Haniger. Segura is slashing .314/.345/.430 with nine home runs, 60 RBIs, 82 runs and 20 steals, and Haniger is batting .279 with 24 homers, 85 RBIs and 74 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.17 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.25 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.17, along with a WHIP of 1.26.

Yankees hitters have slashed .250/.331/.449 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

New York’s hitters have been paced by Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar, who have combined to drive in 160 runs. Stanton is slashing .270/.344/.511 with 33 home runs, 84 RBIs and 87 runs scored. Andujar (.297/.331/.523) has produced 23 homers, 76 RBIs and 74 runs scored.

The Yankees have gained 3.6 units and are 17-23 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 15.3 units and are 46-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 51 of those games, as opposed to 43 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in five of New York’s last seven outings.

The Yankees have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit nine over their last 10.

New York has recorded 16.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.0 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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