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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview 07/24/18

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will be taking on their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. YES Network will broadcast the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds

Tampa Bay (+130) is coming into this one as the underdog to New York (-140) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 7 runs (-105 for the under and -115 for the over). Runline odds sit at +105 for taking the Yankees -1.5 runs and -125 for the Rays +1.5 runs.

The Yankees have gone 63-35 SU this year and are 50-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 7.8 units for moneyline bettors and 0.0 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, are 51-49 SU and 56-43 ATS. They’ve gained 6.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.6 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Rays games have an over/under record of 42-54-3 in 2018. The Yankees have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 43-50-4.

Right-hander Masahiro Tanaka will get the start for the visiting Yankees. Tanaka is 7-2 with a 4.54 ERA and 83 strikeouts. This will be his first start against Tampa Bay this year. He did make three starts against the Rays in 2017, posting a 1-2 record against them with a 9.22 ERA and 21 strikeouts.

The Rays will be sending Yonny Chirinos (0-1, 3.71 ERA) to the hill. Chirinos has 24 strikeouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Chirinos did not pitch in the majors last season.

As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 38 divisional games, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.08 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.39.

The Tampa Bay offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .266/.330/.424 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Third baseman Matt Duffy and catcher Wilson Ramos have led the charge for the Rays’ hitters this year. Duffy is hitting .313/.367/.406 with four home runs, 28 RBIs and 34 runs scored, and Ramos has put up a line of .297/.346/.488 with 14 homers, 53 RBIs and 30 runs.

For the visiting squad, New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.10 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.92 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 2.75, along with a K-per-9 of 11.53.

Yankees hitters have slashed .254/.335/.462 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge continue to lead New York’s offense. Stanton is hitting .285/.353/.521 with 23 home runs, 59 RBIs and 61 runs scored. Judge is slashing .284/.398/.554 with 26 homers, 61 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

The Rays have lost 2.6 units and are 36-32 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

New York has recorded 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Tampa Bay has 16 XBH over its last five.

New York fielders have five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Tampa Bay over its last 10.

The Yankees have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 13 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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