The New York Yankees will head south to square off against their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Pix11 will broadcast the action and the game will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Odds
Tampa Bay (+150) is the underdog to New York (-160) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -110 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and -110 for the Rays +1.5.
The Yankees have gone 50-22 SU this year and are 40-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.0 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, are 34-40 SU and 40-34 ATS. They’ve lost 3.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.8 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Rays games have had an over/under record of 32-40-2 thus far in 2018. The Yankees have an over/under record of 32-36-3.
Southpaw CC Sabathia will get the start for New York. Sabathia is 4-2 with a 3.30 ERA and 57 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 3.52 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.
The Rays will put the ball in the right hand of Ryne Stanek (1-1, 2.21 ERA), who has 23 punchouts and nine walks as well as a 0.89 WHIP. Stanek is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one start against New York this year.
New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.76 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.04 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.82, along with a WHIP of 1.18 and a K-per-9 of 12.00.
The Yankees offense has slashed .253/.334/.466 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton continue to lead New York’s hitters. Judge is hitting .281/.398/.567 with 19 home runs, 50 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Stanton (.252/.325/.496) has produced 18 homers, 42 RBIs and 44 runs scored.
For the home team, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.07, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 34 divisional games, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.24 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.58.
The Tampa Bay offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .199/.275/.311 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Rays’ batters have been led by third baseman Matt Duffy and catcher Wilson Ramos. Duffy is slashing .317/.360/.439 with four home runs, 22 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Ramos has produced a line of .288/.337/.447 with nine homers, 36 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
The Yankees have gained 4.3 units and are 29-20 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have netted 4.6 units and are 16-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in eight of those games, as opposed to 16 that’ve gone under.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in six of New York’s last seven games.
The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games SU.
New York has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.0 over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
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