The Tampa Bay Rays will do battle against the New York Yankees at Tropicana Field. The matchup will be televised nationally on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Odds
Tampa Bay (+135) is coming into this one as the underdog to New York (-145) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at +100 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and -120 for the Rays +1.5.
The Rays are 40-34 against the spread (ATS), but only 35-40 straight up (SU). The team has lost 3.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.8 units (ATS). Tampa Bay has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Yankees have gone 50-23 SU this year and are 40-32 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 14.0 units for moneyline bettors and 6.8 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven.
Rays games have an over/under record of 32-40-2 so far in 2018. The Yankees have an over/under record of 32-37-3.
The right-handed Sonny Gray is projected to start for the visiting Bronx Bombers. Gray (5-4, 4.89 ERA) has racked up 66 punchouts in 73.2 innings so far. He has yet to face Tampa Bay this year, but he made four starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-2 record with a 4.32 ERA and 27 strikeouts.
The Rays will be sending righty Wilmer Font (0-3, 7.56 ERA) to the mound. Font has 29 punchouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a 1.65 WHIP. Font is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.18 ERA in one start against New York this year.
As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.06 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 35 games against AL East foes, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.21 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.46.
Tampa Bay’s hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .228/.313/.315 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Rays’ batters have been led by third baseman Matt Duffy and catcher Wilson Ramos. Duffy is slashing .321/.363/.440 with four home runs, 22 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Ramos is hitting .296 with nine homers, 36 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.74 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.01 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 2.79, along with a K/9 of 11.98.
The Yankees offense has slashed .252/.334/.463 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
New York’s offense has been powered by Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, who’ve collectively swatted 37 home runs. Judge is hitting .282/.399/.564 with 19 home runs, 51 RBIs and 50 runs scored. Stanton (.249/.324/.491) has produced 18 homers, 42 RBIs and 44 runs scored.
The Yankees have gained 4.3 units and are 29-20 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 7.6 units and are 24-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, compared to 24 which went under the total.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in six of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
The Yankees have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
Tampa Bay has posted 14.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.2 over its last five.
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