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New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick 07/07/18

Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will be taking on their division rival Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. YES Network is in line to broadcast the matchup. The game gets underway at 4:07 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (-180) as the favorite over Toronto (+170). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -125 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and +105 for the Blue Jays +1.5.

ACC Atlantic, Over/Under, Clemson, Florida State

The Yankees are 56-29 SU and have gone 46-38 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.2 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 41-46 SU and 40-46 ATS. The team has lost 6.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.8 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Toronto games have a 40-38-8 over/under record so far in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent under bet with a total record of 36-45-3.

The right-handed Luis Severino is the probable starter for New York. Severino is 13-2 with a 1.98 ERA and 138 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 0.71 ERA against Toronto this year (two starts).

The Blue Jays are going with lefty J.A. Happ (10-4, 4.03 ERA), who has 110 punchouts and 28 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.11. Happ is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA in one start against New York this year.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.01 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.70, along with a K/9 of 11.75.

The Yankees offense has slashed .249/.331/.461 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge continue to lead New York’s hitters. Stanton is slashing .264/.337/.511 with 21 home runs, 51 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Judge has a .277 average with 24 homers, 57 RBIs and 61 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.92, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 4.00 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 33 divisional games, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.51 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.00.

The Toronto offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .226/.293/.369 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Blue Jays’ offense has been led by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar. Solarte is hitting .256/.314/.455 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Pillar’s line sits at .245/.280/.401 with seven homers, 29 RBIs, 38 runs and 11 stolen bases.

The Yankees have gained 11.7 units and are 14-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 3.9 units and are 25-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 27 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.

Toronto has posted 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.

The Yankees have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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