In the second of a two-game series between the New York Yankees (33-25) and the Washington Nationals (33-25) at Yankee Stadium, Nathan Eovaldi (5-1, 4.16 ERA) and Gio Gonzalez (4-3, 4.57 ERA) take the mound. The Yankees won the last game 6-1, extending a seven-game winning streak. The game starts at 1:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 10 and will air on MASN, YES and MLB Network.
Eovaldi is 2-4 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.45 WHIP against the Nationals in his career. Mark Teixeira (.238, 30 Rs, 17 HRs, 45 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Yankees, Gonzalez is 1-5 with a 7.30 ERA, 34 strikeouts and 24 walks. Bryce Harper (.330, 45 Rs, 20 HRs, 47 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Nationals, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
New York, a -118 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Washington. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. The Yankees perform well as a favorite with a 17-11 record and have an overall money line of +465. They have SU record of 7-3 and are unbeaten as the favorite (3-0) over their last 10 games. The Yankees come into the game with the AL’s second-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 5.3 runs per game in their own ballpark. The Yankees rank second in the majors in home runs with 76. New York’s pitchers struggle against teams that play in the National League. The Yankees have given up an average of 4.8 runs to opponents from the NL, well over their defense’s season average of 4.1 runs per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Nationals come into this game with a weak win percentage of .364 when playing as the underdog (4-7) and an overall money line of -388. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 2-8 SU and have a poor 0-1 record when they were an underdog to win. They sport the second-ranked offense in the NL, averaging four runs per game. Washington’s pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play AL opponents. They’ve allowed an average of 5.6 runs per game against teams from the AL, higher than their season average of 4.3.
In their previous three games this season, the Nationals have a 2-1 record. This game will feature Gonzalez (LHP) on the mound against the Yankees, who have a 9-6 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Nationals will be the right-hander Eovaldi. They sport a 21-23 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Over
Notes
When the Nationals play into extra innings, they have a 3-1 record. The Yankees are 1-3 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Nationals are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Yankees have a 9-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Nationals are 6-26. The Yankees have a 6-18 record when opponents outhit them.
Washington ranks in the top 10 of the league at 10th when it comes to home runs, hitting 60 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 76.
New York and Washington both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. New York sits at seventh with 8.53 hits per game and Washington ranks 10th with 8.42.
Ranking 12th, Washington is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.720). New York ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .739.
When the Nationals allow at least one home run, they are 9-16. When the Yankees allow one or more homers, they have a 17-19 record.
