The Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks play at CenturyLink Field with the winner advancing to the Super Bowl. The NFL’s fourth-leading rusher, Marshawn Lynch (1,306 yards, 13 TDs), and fourth-leading receiver, Jordy Nelson (1,519 yards, 13 TDs) will be the focal point for their respective offenses. It starts at 3:05 p.m. ET on Sunday and can be seen on FOX.
In last week’s NFC Divisional Round, Seattle defeated Carolina 31-17. Wilson had a huge game throwing the ball in the win, completing 15 of 22 passes for 268 yards and three TDs. Jermaine Kearse also had a great game with 129 yards and a TD on three receptions. Green Bay beat Dallas 26-21. Davante Adams had a great game for the Packers, recording seven catches for 117 yards and one TD. Aaron Rodgers had a great game as well, adding 316 yards and three TDs through the air.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is 46 points and the Packers are a big time seven-point underdog. The Seahawks enter the game with records of 12-4 Straight Up (SU) and 10-6 Against The Spread (ATS) this season. Seattle’s offense operates through the run game, where they rank first in the league with 172.6 rushing yards per game. The Seahawks are one of the best in the league at scoring in the fourth quarter, averaging eight points.
Across the field, the Packers have 12-4 SU and 9-6-1 ATS records this season. Green Bay’s defense ranks in the top half of the league for passing yards allowed and will look to bolster its statistics this week against the 27th-ranked passing attack of the Seahawks, which only averages 203.1 yards through the air per game. Keeping penalties at bay could be key for Seattle. The team earns an average of 8.1 penalties per game, the highest in the NFL.
Predictions: SU Winner – SEA, ATS Winner – SEA, O/U – Over
Notes
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle’s last 7 games.
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Seattle is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
Seattle is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games when playing Green Bay.
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay.
Seattle is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay.
Seattle is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay.
Green Bay is 12-0 SU when leading at the start of the fourth quarter this season. Seattle is 9-1 SU when leading after three quarters.
This season, Seattle is only 2-1 SU in games where it loses the turnover battle.
Seattle is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its first-ranked rushing attack will face the 23rd-ranked run defense of Green Bay, while its third-ranked rush defense will look to contain the 10th-ranked run game of the Packers.
Seattle has given up 15.9 points per game this year, which is ranked only 21st in the league. Green Bay has scored 30.4 points per game this year and is ranked seventh overall.
