NFL Picks: Since their 41-14 Monday Night loss at Kansas City the New England Patriots have not lost a game and have flashed a dominant look both on the field and at the cashier’s cage. The Indianapolis Colts continue to lead the weak AFC South with an improved offense and exceptional betting value.
In a potential AFC Playoff preview the Indianapolis Colts will host the New England Patriots at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday Night with coverage on NBC starting at 8:30 PM ET. The Colts opened as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 57.
Lucky Horseshoe
The Colts are 6-3 straight up, 7-2 against the spread, and 7-2 over the total. Indianapolis is coming off a bye week that followed a 40-24 payout at the New York Giants. The Colts have the top ranked offense in the NFL both overall and for scoring. QB Andrew Luck has a 100.3 QB rating with a 26-9 TD-IN ratio. RB Ahmad Bradshaw has given the Colts a much needed rushing element with 5.1 yards per carry.
Streaking Pats
New England is 7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS, and 7-2 over the total. The Patriots have won five games in a row SU with four payouts in that span. The Pats lead the AFC East by two games over Buffalo and Miami. New England ranks third in the NFL for scoring offense and 12th for scoring defense. QB Tom Brady has a 103.5 QB rating with a sparkling 22-3 TD-INT ratio. Brady and the Pats were written off as washed up after that loss at KC but have since proven to be a top shelf contender once again.
Matchup and Pick!
New England has split their last six games against the spread on the road with three out of their last four away games going over the total.
The Colts have been a strong betting value at home with 15 payouts in their last 19 home games. Indianapolis has gone over the total in three out of their last five home games.
New England has covered four out of their last six meetings with the Colts with the last five meetings between the Pats and Colts going over the total. The Patriots have been an outstanding wagering value at Indianapolis. The Patriots have come away with the money in 16 out of their last 19 visits to Indianapolis with five out of the last seven games between the Patriots and Colts at Indy going over the total.
Based on their head to head dominance and winning streak we’ll call for the Patriots and over the total
