The San Francisco Dons (21-15) meet the North Texas Mean Green (18-17) in the College Basketball Invitational at War Memorial Gymnasium. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, March 26, 2018, and will air on ESPNU.
San Francisco is a 3-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 140.5 points.
North Texas Mean Green at San Francisco Dons Betting Prediction
The Mean Green come in on a high note after thoroughly outplaying the Jacksonville State Gamecocks in their last contest, 90-68. North Texas’ 29.2 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Jacksonville State, who had a rate of 16.2. The Mean Green’s mark was below their season average of 30.7, while the Gamecocks’ was below their season average of 33.7. With 20 points on 6-for-12 shooting, Roosevelt Smart led North Texas in scoring.
The last time the Dons played, they won a close one over the Campbell Fighting Camels, 65-62. San Francisco’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Campbell. The Dons had a rate of 0.570 (above their season average of 0.495), while the Fighting Camels posted a mark of 0.405 (below their season average of 0.567). With 15 points and 14 rebounds, San Francisco’s Matt McCarthy played well.
Second-chance points could be rare for San Francisco in this battle. The Dons are among the nation’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 198th in offensive rebounding percentage at 28.4 percent. Meanwhile, North Texas ranks 45th in the NCAA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 74.8 percent.
North Texas comes into the contest with records of 18-17 straight up (SU) and 18-11 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Mean Green have a tendency to go under the projected point total (55.2 percent).
Meanwhile, San Francisco is 21-15 SU and 13-19 ATS. Dons games also have finished under the total 53.1 percent of the time.
Roosevelt Smart has averaged 24.6 points and 6.4 rebounds over the last five games for North Texas.
North Texas Mean Green at San Francisco Dons Pick
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – North Texas, ATS Winner – North Texas, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
San Francisco ranks 122nd in blocks per game (3.5) while North Texas ranks 209th in blocks allowed per game (4.0).
The Dons rank 12th in three pointers allowed per game (17.3) while the Mean Green rank 70th (20.2).
North Texas ranks 67th in rebounds per game (37.8) while San Francisco ranks 119th in rebounds allowed per game (33.9).
The Dons rank 190th in steals per game (5.5) while the Mean Green rank 239th (4.9).
San Francisco allows the 13th-fewest assists per game (10.1) while North Texas ranks 23rd (10.8).
Bettings Trends:
The Mean Green’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.2, up from 3.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Dons have scored an average of 69.2 points per game (0.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 72.2 points per game (3.8 above their season average).
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