The North Texas Mean Green (-13.5) and Liberty Flames will collide on the turf at Williams Stadium. The game is scheduled to get underway at 6:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPN 3.
North Texas Mean Green vs. Liberty Flames Betting Preview
Liberty is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 13.5 points in this Saturday game. In order to take the favorite, moneyline bettors would currently need to put down $600 to win $100 back on the Mean Green (-600). The Flames are getting +425 moneyline odds. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 65 points, and it appears that there might be some good live betting possibilities for this showdown.
The line opened at 14 while the total has not moved after it was initially established at 65.
The Mean Green have gained 2.8 units so far and are 2-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 0-3. The Flames have gained 0.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-1 ATS and own an O/U record of 1-1.
The Mean Green have gone 3-0 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Flames are 1-1 SU.
The Mean Green are looking to remain undefeated after a 44-17 win over Arkansas last week. Mason Fine completed just 24 passes on 45 attempts for 281 yards and one touchdown. Loren Easly (68 yards on 13 rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack. Kelvin Smith (five receptions, 60 yards) and Jaelon Darden (five catches, 87 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Liberty just lost a brutal 38-14 game to Army West Point. Stephen Calvert completed 19-of-37 passes for 307 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Kentory Matthews (81 rushing yards on nine attempts) spearheaded the running game while Damian King (eight receptions, 172 yards, one TD) and Antonio Gandy-Golden (three catches, 33 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
Each of these teams has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. North Texas has run the ball on 43.8 percent of its offensive possessions while Liberty has an overall rush percentage of 45.2. The Mean Green have produced 105 rush yards/game and have five touchdowns on the ground this year. The Flames are logging 174 rush yards per game and have three total rushing TDs.
The Mean Green offense has tallied an astonishing 399 yards/game in the air overall and has eight passing scores so far. The Flames have recorded 330 pass yards per contest and have six total pass TDs.
Defensively, North Texas has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 91 yards and throw for 205 yards per game. The Liberty defense has given up 116.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 289.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Mean Green are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 1.55 to opponents, while the Flames have given up a 5.77 ANY/A.
Offensively, Fine is up to 725 passing yards this season. He’s completed 67 percent of his 95 attempts with four passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. Fine has a pristine 7.94 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.66 over the last two outings.
Stephen Calvert has completed 19-of-37 passes for 307 yards, two TDs and one INT for Liberty. His ANY/A stands at 7.36 for the year and 9.49 across his last two outings.
NCAA Tip: North Texas Mean Green vs. Liberty Flames
SU Winner – Liberty, ATS Winner – Liberty, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
The Liberty offense has lost three fumbles this season while North Texas has lost one.
Both teams have produced two pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Mean Green have have made 11 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Flames have accounted for four such plays.
The North Texas defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Liberty has given up one such play.
The North Texas offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Liberty has created three such runs.
The Mean Green defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Flames have given up four such runs.
The North Texas defense has sacked opposing QBs 11 times this season. Liberty has produced just one sack.
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