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North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazers – NCAA Football Free Pick

Nov 25, 2017; Birmingham, AL, USA; UAB Blazers quarterback A.J. Erdely (11) looks to pass against UTEP Miners during the first quarter at Legion Field. Mandatory Credit: Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

The Blazers (-1) are set to welcome their conference foe North Texas Mean Green to Uab. beIN Sports has the TV rights and the game is scheduled to kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET.

North Texas Mean Green at UAB Blazers Betting Preview

UAB is entering this CUSA matchup as the underdog and is currently receiving 1 point. The Mean Green are also receiving -115 moneyline odds while the Blazers are -105. There might be some good in-game betting scenarios in this match, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 52 points.

This game’s line opened at -1. The over/under has not changed after it was set initially at 52.

Both of these teams have rewarded gamblers this season as the Mean Green have gained 1.5 units while the Blazers are ahead 2.4 units.

The Mean Green have gone 6-1 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against CUSA opponents. The Blazers are 5-1 SU overall and 3-0 SU in conference play.

The Mean Green are coming off a resounding 30-7 victory over Southern Miss last week. Mason Fine completed 24 passes for 292 yards and one touchdown. DeAndre Torrey (95 yards on 17 rushes, three TDs) led the running attack in the win while Jalen Guyton (seven receptions, 124 yards, one TD) and Rico Bussey, Jr. (four catches, 41 yards) handled the receiving duties.

The UAB Blazers just picked up a lopsided 42-0 win over Rice. The defensive unit held its ground in the victory, limiting the Owls to only 136 passing yards and 50 rushing yards. Austin Trammell had a good outing in the defeat for Rice, recording 40 yards on four catches. For UAB, A.J. Erdely completed 11-of-17 passes for 274 yards and two touchdowns. Erdely (29 rushing yards on nine attempts, one TD) and Lucious Stanley (70 yards on nine carries) handled the ground game in the win as Andre Wilson (four receptions, 43 yards) and Xavier Ubosi (four catches, 196 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching attack.

North Texas has run the ball on 48.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UAB has a rush percentage of 65.6 percent. The Mean Green have rushed for 156 yards per game (including 143 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have 15 scores via handoffs this year. The Blazers are putting up 232 rush yards per game (184 in conference) and have 18 total rushing TDs.

The Mean Green offensive scheme has tallied 323 yards/game through the air overall (294 per game against conference opposition) and has 16 passing scores so far. The Blazers have recorded 203 pass yards per contest (208.0 in the CUSA) and have seven total pass TDs.

Defensively, North Texas has allowed opponents to run for an average of 97 yards and throw for 242 yards per game. The UAB defense has allowed 134.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 149.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Blazers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.28 to opponents, while the Mean Green have given up a 4.00 ANY/A.

Offensively, Fine has already amassed 1,916 passing yards this year, and has connected on 64 percent of his 235 attempts with 14 passing scores and only one interception. Fine’s got a pristine 8.50 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.97 over the last two outings.

In the other locker room, A.J. Erdely has managed to complete 70-of-114 passes for 1,045 yards, six TDs and four INTs. Erdely’s ANY/A sits at 8.06 for the season and 9.60 over his past two outings.

When these two squads met a year ago, North Texas won by a field goal 46-43.

RELATED: Week 8 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

NCAA Prediction: North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazers

SU Winner – North Texas, ATS Winner – North Texas, O/U – Over

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Over/Under for North Texas’ last game was 53. The under cashed in the team’s 30-7 win over Southern Miss.

As a team, North Texas has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.4 over its last two.

UAB has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.9 over its past two.

UAB has lost two fumbles this season while North Texas has let four get away.

In its last three games, North Texas is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for UAB’s previous matchup was set at 54.5. The under cashed in the team’s 42-0 victory over Rice.

Over its last three matches, UAB is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

Both passing attacks have produced five pass plays of 40+ yards. The Mean Green have have made 20 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Blazers have created 11 such plays.

The North Texas defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while UAB has given up three such plays.

The North Texas offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while UAB has created 12 such runs.

The Mean Green defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Blazers have given up 10 such runs.

Each team defense has created 22 sacks this year.

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Written by GMS Previews

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