It will be a battle between Big 10 opponents when the Indiana Hoosiers (10-7, 3-2 Big 10) welcome the Northwestern Wildcats (11-7, 2-3 Big 10) to Assembly Hall. The game gets underway at 12 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 14, 2018.
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiers ATS Prediction
The last time the Wildcats played, they blew out the Minnesota Golden Gophers, 83-60. Northwestern’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Minnesota. The Wildcats had a rate of 33.3 (above their season average of 29.3), while the Golden Gophers posted a mark of 14.6 (below their season average of 35.3). Northwestern received a boost from Bryant McIntosh, who had 11 points, 16 assists and five rebounds.
The Hoosiers defeated the Penn State Nittany Lions in their last outing, 74-70. The Hoosiers held the Nittany Lions to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.2 (below their season average of 33.6) and had a turnover percentage of 11.2 (better than their season average of 15.9). Juwan Morgan was Indiana’s high scorer with 21 points on 8-for-16 shooting.
Expect this one to be a clinic on boxing out as two of the NCAA’s top rebounding teams go head-to-head. The Hoosiers currently rank 40th in offensive rebounding percentage (34.9 percent), while Northwestern ranks 42nd in defensive rebounding percentage (75.2 percent).
Northwestern has a respectable 11-7 straight up (SU) record, but they struggle covering the spread (6-9 against the spread (ATS)). Of the Wildcats’ 15 games with betting action, eight have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Indiana is 10-7 SU and 8-7-2 ATS. Contrary to Northwestern, a little over half of Hoosiers games have finished over the total.
After splitting two games last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. The Hoosiers won the most recent contest 63-62. Indiana had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (36.1 vs. 25.6). Northwestern, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (8.2 vs. 20.5).
Northwestern Wildcats at Indiana Hoosiers Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Northwestern, ATS Winner – Northwestern, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Northwestern is 2-5 ATS with 3 overs, 3 unders and 1 push.
Indiana is 6-4-1 ATS at home with 7 overs and 4 unders.
Northwestern ranks 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (18.2) while Indiana ranks 151st (22.4).
The Wildcats rank 35th in blocks per game (4.8) while the Hoosiers rank 95th in blocks allowed per game (3.5).
Northwestern ranks 74th in assists per game (15.3) while Indiana ranks 119th in assists allowed per game (13.4).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Northwestern is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Indiana is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Wildcats have been outscored by an average of 2.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Northwestern has defeated opponents by an average of 7.6 points.
During their last five games, the Hoosiers have scored an average of 75.2 points per game (0.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 64.4 points per game (7.8 below their season average).
