The No. 8 Michigan State Spartans (11-2, 2-0 Big 10) welcome the Northwestern Wildcats (9-4, 0-2 Big 10) in a matchup that pits sensational offense against exceptional defense. The game is scheduled to get underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 2, 2019.
Northwestern Wildcats at Michigan State Spartans ATS Prediction
The Wildcats come in on a high note after dismantling the New Orleans Privateers in their last outing, 82-52. The Wildcats had a much better turnover percentage (11.2 vs. 20.4) and had a much better free throw rate (0.350 vs. 0.204). Northwestern was lifted by Vic Law, who finished with 18 points, six rebounds and five assists.
The last time the Spartans played, they fell to the No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks, 92-87. Kansas’ 11.6 turnover percentage was their largest strength over Michigan State, who had a mark of 19.5. Michigan State’s Kenny Goins finished with 17 points and 11 rebounds in the contest.
After the Spartans won the only contest against the Wildcats last season, 65-60, these teams will clash for the first time this year. The Spartans made 17 of their 21 free throws (81.0 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.8 vs. 22.9).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Law (0 points) has been stellar for the Wildcats while Cassius Winston (0 points) has contributed greatly to the Spartans.
The game should be a showdown of strength against strength as the prolific offense of Michigan State takes on the top-notch defense of Northwestern. The Spartans rank sixth in offensive efficiency, while the Wildcats are 29th in defensive efficiency.
Northwestern vs. Michigan State Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Michigan State, ATS Winner – Michigan State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Michigan State ranks fifth in rebounds per game (44.0) while Northwestern ranks 172nd (35.2).
The Wildcats rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (17.2) while the Spartans rank 140th (22.8).
Michigan State ranks first in assists per game (21.3) while Northwestern ranks 68th in assists allowed per game (12.1).
The Wildcats average 4.7 blocks per game, which ranks 33rd in the NCAA. The Spartans rank 74th in blocks allowed per game (3.2).
Bettings Trends:
The Wildcats’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.6, up from 11.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spartans have scored an average of 92.2 points per game (4.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 66.6 points per game (1.8 below their season average).
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