The Ohio Bobcats (9-11, 2-6 MAC) and the Bowling Green Falcons (12-9, 3-5 MAC), who both like to play up-tempo, will clash at Stroh Center. The game is scheduled to get underway at 12 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 30, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 152.5 points with neither team favored.
Ohio Bobcats at Bowling Green Falcons ATS Prediction
The last time the Bobcats played, they were defeated by the Buffalo Bulls, 73-66. Buffalo’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Ohio. The Bulls had a rate of 36.6 (above their season average of 32.3), while the Bobcats posted a mark of 25.0. Teyvion Kirk led Ohio in scoring with 18 points on 7-for-16 shooting.
The Falcons lost big to the Toledo Rockets in their last contest, 101-75. Toledo’s 34.8 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Bowling Green, who had a rate of 22.5. The Rockets’ mark was above their season average of 27.0, while the Falcons’ was below their season average of 28.7. With 13 points and six assists, Justin Turner put together a solid game for Bowling Green.
There could be a fair amount of transition action in this showdown that showcases two of the NCAA’s more fast-breaking teams. Bowling Green ranks 30th in possessions per game (74.0) and Ohio is 34th (73.6).
Ohio heads into the game with records of 9-11 straight up (SU) and 6-7-2 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of the Bobcats’ games have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Bowling Green is 12-9 SU and 6-8 ATS. Games involving the Falcons have typically gone over the total (57.1 percent).
After the Bobcats won both matchups against the Falcons last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last matchup, Ohio won 95-75. Ohio had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.720 vs. 0.463). Bowling Green, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (12.7 vs. 17.9).
Ohio Bobcats vs. Bowling Green Falcons Pick
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Ohio, ATS Winner – Ohio, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Ohio is 3-4-2 ATS with 5 overs and 4 unders.
At home, Bowling Green is 1-5 ATS with 4 overs, 1 under and 1 push.
Bowling Green ranks 73rd in rebounds per game (37.8) while Ohio ranks 261st in rebounds allowed per game (39.1).
The Falcons rank 149th in three pointers attempted per game (21.9) while the Bobcats rank 237th in three pointers allowed per game (24.5).
Ohio averages 13.8 assists per game, which ranks 137th in the NCAA. Bowling Green ranks 194th in assists allowed per game (14.8).
The Bobcats rank 49th in steals allowed per game (5.4) while the Falcons rank 93rd (6.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Ohio is 2-2-1 ATS with 5 unders.
Bowling Green is 2-3 ATS with 5 overs over their last five games.
The Bobcats’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.8, up from 0.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Falcons have scored an average of 74.2 points per game (4.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 85.6 points per game (5.6 above their season average).
