The nation’s second-leading passer, Matt Johnson (3,321 yards, 29 TDs), and second-leading receiver, Roger Lewis (1,122 yards, 11 TDs), will be on display when the Bowling Green Falcons meet the Ohio Bobcats. If it can pull out a win this week, Ohio (5-3) could begin to get back on track. While they have had some success this season, the Bobcats have struggled lately, losing their last three games. The game starts at 8:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Nov 4 and will air on ESP2.
Bowling Green won easily over Kent State 48-0 in their last game. Matt Johnson had an outstanding performance throwing the ball in the win, completing 27 of 40 passes for 430 yards and five TDs. Ronnie Moore also had a big day, contributing 151 receiving yards and two TDs on seven receptions. Ohio didn’t have the same success as Bowling Green, getting dominated by Buffalo 41-17. Keith Heitzman had a solid outing for the Bobcats, totaling six receptions for 83 yards. Sebastian Smith added 79 receiving yards on nine receptions.
Bowling Green is a 13-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable.
Heading into Week 10 of the college football season, the Falcons are 6-2 for both Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). In the past five games, Bowling Green is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS. Bowling Green will try controlling the game with its passing attack, which averages a nation-best 434.1 yards per game. Turning to the Falcons defense, a few key spots could be deciding factors this week. Don’t anticipate Ohio will have much success running the ball against the Falcons. The Bobcats average 131.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 111th in the nation. Bowling Green usually finishes games strong, averaging 10.4 points in the fourth quarter.
On the other side, the Bobcats have a record of 5-2-1 ATS and 5-3 SU. In the previous five games, Ohio has a record of 2-3 SU and 2-2-1 ATS. If Bowling Green’s earlier games are any indication, the Bobcats might throw the ball more on offense. The Falcons allow 271.8 passing yards per game, 113th in Division I. Lately, the Bobcats have had a better pass defense. They’re allowing only 202.0 passing YPG over their last five matchups. The Falcons defense seems to take a wrong turn out of the gate. The Bobcats can take an early advantage against Bowling Green and its average of 8.5 first-quarter points allowed.
Predictions: SU Winner – Bowling Green, ATS Winner – Bowling Green
Notes
Bowling Green is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Bowling Green’s last 11 games.
Bowling Green is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green’s last 5 games at home.
Bowling Green is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Ohio.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Bowling Green’s last 5 games when playing Ohio.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio’s last 5 games when playing Bowling Green.
Ohio is 5-0 SU when leading at the half this season. Bowling Green is 5-1 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Bowling Green has drawn an average of 8.2 penalties on opponents over its last five games, but Ohio is 4-2 SU this season when penalized at least eight times in a game.
The Bowling Green run defense is ranked 49th in the country this year, and will look to contain the 111th-ranked rushing attack of Ohio.
