Offense meets defense when the Golden State Warriors (12-6) welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder (10-6) to ORACLE Arena. The game can be seen on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 222.5 points with Golden State opening as a 1-point favorite.
Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction
The Thunder were unable to cover as 5-point favorites in their 117-113 loss to the Sacramento Kings in their last matchup. The total points for the game (230) were just over the projected point total of 227.5. Sacramento’s 25.9 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Oklahoma City, who had a mark of 22.4. The Kings’ mark was above their season average of 21.1, while the Thunder’s was below their season average of 28.7. Russell Westbrook was the top scorer from either team with 29 points on 12-for-25 shooting.
In the Warriors’ last matchup, they were beaten by the San Antonio Spurs, 104-92. They were unable to cover as 3-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (196) finished well under the projected point total of 212. San Antonio’s 0.500 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Golden State, who had a rate of 0.436. The Spurs’ mark was above their season average of 0.493, while the Warriors’ was below their season average of 0.568. With 26 points on 8-for-25 shooting, Kevin Durant was the top scorer from either team.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Stephen Curry scored a game-high 32 points in the first matchup, in which the Warriors beat the Thunder 108-100 but did not cover as 12-point favorites. He also recorded 9 assists and 8 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 208 points, which was 12.5 points below the projected point total of 220.5 points. The Warriors’ 37.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Thunder, who had a rate of 28.1.
Oklahoma City comes into the game with records of 10-6 straight up (SU) and 10-6 against the spread (ATS). Thunder games have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Golden State is 12-6 SU, but they struggle covering the spread (8-10 ATS). Much like to Oklahoma City, Warriors games have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Paul George has averaged 28 points,10.0 rebounds,5.0 assists,2.6 steals over the last five games for Oklahoma City.
The game should be a battle of strength against strength as the prolific offense of Golden State takes on the top-notch defense of Oklahoma City. The Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Thunder are fourth in defensive efficiency.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Oklahoma City is 5-3 ATS with 6 unders and 2 overs.
At home, Golden State is 6-3 ATS with 6 unders and 3 overs.
Golden State is 1-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 2-0.
The Thunder are 8-3 when they reach 100 points, while the Warriors are 12-3.
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.4) while Oklahoma City ranks 26th (21.3).
The Thunder rank first in second chance points per game (17.3) while the Warriors rank 25th (12.0).
Oklahoma City averages 11.1 steals per game, which ranks first in the league. Golden State ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.1).
The Thunder rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (29.6) while the Warriors rank 27th (35.0).
Oklahoma City ranks first in points off turnovers per game (22.1) while Golden State ranks 20th (15.9).
The Thunder rank 8 in points in the paint per game (51.25) while the Warriors rank 25 (41.666666666666664).
Golden State ranks 4 in fast break points per game (17.38888888888889) while Oklahoma City ranks 19 in fast break points allowed per game (14.6875).
The Warriors rank 2 in blocks allowed per game (3.7222222222222223) while the Thunder rank 6 (4.6875).
Golden State ranks 4 in rebounds allowed per game (41.888888888888886) while Oklahoma City ranks 8 (43.5).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five contests, Oklahoma City is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Golden State is 0-5 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.6, up from 4.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 102.6 points per game (14.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.4 points per game (1.0 below their season average).
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