The Dallas Mavericks (42-41) will be at home when they face the Oklahoma City Thunder (56-27) in Game 1 of the Western Conference Quarterfinals. Action begins at 7:00 pm ET on Thursday, Apr. 21 and will air on TNT, FxK, TXA and C+D.
The Mavericks got blown out by the Thunder 108-70 the last time they played. Dirk Nowitzki finished with 18 points to lead the team.
The Mavericks enter the game with records of 43-41 Straight Up (SU) and 45-37-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 43-41 SU and 45-37-2 ATS against the Western Conference.
On the other side, Oklahoma City has a SU record of 56-28 and an ATS record of 37-44-3. Oklahoma City has records of 56-28 SU and 37-44-3 ATS against the West. The Thunder rank second in the league in road scoring, averaging 110.9 points per game. Oklahoma City is the best rebounding teams in the NBA. The Thunder average a league-leading 48.7 rebounds per game. The Thunder average 102.3 points allowed per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 91.3 points per game during that span. Oklahoma City’s defense is one of the top in the league, with opponents shooting only .436 from the field.
Dallas won the last meeting this season between these two teams, but the win was not enough to overtake Oklahoma City in the recent head-to-head series. Its record is now 4-6 SU over the most recent 10 meetings. At 5-5, they are even ATS.
Predictions: SU Winner – OKC
Notes
“Dallas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games “.
“Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games “.
“The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas’s last 11 games “.
“Dallas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home”.
“Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home”.
“Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City”.
“Dallas is 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City”.
“Dallas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City”.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’s last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City”.
Dallas scores an average of 101.7 points per game (ranked 20th), while Oklahoma City gives up 102.3 points per game (ranked 13th).
On average, Dallas puts up 104.3 points per home game (ranked 16th). Oklahoma City ranks 20th in points allowed per road game with 106.2.
In its last game, Oklahoma City won by a 38-point margin. Dallas is 3-10 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Oklahoma City has a 21-1 record in blowouts.
In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Oklahoma City Thunder are a fantastic 30-5. In games where they score fewer than 100 points, the Dallas Mavericks have a poor record of 14-24.
When the Oklahoma City Thunder allow at least 100 points they are 26-22, while the Dallas Mavericks are 28-17 when they reach the century mark.
The Thunder have the second-best offensive rating in the NBA (110.4). The Mavericks are also in the top half of the league based on their defensive rating of 104.9 (ranked 13th).
Oklahoma City has an average field goal percentage of 47.6% (ranked third). Dallas is an abysmal 6-20 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The Dallas Mavericks average 28.0 three point attempts per game and are 31-30 when attempting at least 25 in a game. The Oklahoma City Thunder average 23.0 attempts and have a solid record (22-11) when attempting 25 or more.
The Dallas Mavericks, with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.79, rank sixth in the NBA. The Oklahoma City Thunder have a lower A/TO (1.48), ranking 24th.
The Thunder earn a league-high 48.7 rebounds per game, while the Mavericks rank 21st with 43.0 per game.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are the top offensive rebounding team in the league, while the Dallas Mavericks rank 11th in defensive rebounding.
Though Dallas is one of the best in the league in forcing turnovers with opponents averaging a TOV% of 13.9% (ranked eighth), Oklahoma City has a solid 37-19 record SU when its TOV% is 13.9% or greater.
