The Dallas Mavericks will travel to Chesapeake Energy Arena to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder. The game starts at 8:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Apr. 1 and will air on FSN-SW and FSN-OK.
The Thunder were victorious over the Suns 109-97 on Sunday. Russell Westbrook was the game’s high scorer with 33 points on 10-for-29 shooting. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are coming off a 104-99 loss to the Pacers on Sunday. Rajon Rondo had a solid game, accumulating his 13th double-double of the season with 17 points and 10 assists.
Enes Kanter has really been playing well as of late for the Thunder, averaging 19.4 points, 11.6 rebounds, 1.0 assist, and 0.6 blocks over the last five games.
Oklahoma City could own the offensive glass in this matchup, as they rank second in the NBA in offensive rebound percentage at 28.6%. Conversely, the Mavericks are 29th in the league on the defensive backboards with a defensive rebound percentage of 72.4%. Also, the sweet-shooting offense of the Mavericks ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage at 51.3%, while the Thunder are fifth-best in the league at forcing opponents’ misses (48.3%).
The Mavericks have won two out of three against the Thunder this season, including a 119-115 victory in their last matchup. Chandler Parsons was the game’s leading scorer with 31 points.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Thunder enter the game with records of 42-32 Straight Up (SU) and 37-35-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 games. Oklahoma City has an edge in the rebounding department for this game, where they rack up a league-best 47.6 rebounds per game.
On the other side, Dallas has a SU record of 45-29 and an ATS record of 31-40-3. Most recently, Dallas is a meager 2-8 ATS over the last 10 games. The Mavericks rank third in the league in scoring, averaging 104.1 points per game. Dallas has not committed many turnovers, averaging only 12.5 per game. On top of that, the Mavericks know how to make opponents pay for their own missteps. They lead the league in points off turnovers with an average of 19.4 per game.
Dallas beat Oklahoma City in their most recent meeting this season, but the Thunder still lead the head-to-head record, 6-4 SU, over the last 10 matchups. The teams have an even record ATS, 5-5. Both Oklahoma City and Dallas have led in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) once over the last 10.
Predictions: SU Winner – OKC, ATS Winner – OKC
Notes
Dallas ranks third in points per game with 104.1, while Oklahoma City ranks 20th in points allowed with an average of 100.8 given up.
Dallas scores an average of 101.8 points per away game (ranked eighth). Oklahoma City ranks 18th in points allowed per home game with 98.3.
In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Dallas Mavericks are an outstanding 24-5. In games where they score fewer than 100 points, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a subpar record of 7-20.
When the Dallas Mavericks allow at least 100 points they are 21-24, while the Oklahoma City Thunder are 35-12 when they reach the century mark.
The Mavericks have the fifth-best offensive rating in the NBA (106.3). The Thunder are also in the top half of the league based on their defensive rating of 101.7 (ranked 12th).
Ranked sixth in the NBA, Dallas has an average field goal percentage of 46.0%. Oklahoma City is 12-14 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The Oklahoma City Thunder average 22.4 three point attempts per game, and the Dallas Mavericks attempt 25.8 per game. When going for at least 25 three pointers in a game this season, Oklahoma City is an even 10-10, while Dallas has a record of 32-15.
Oklahoma City has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.44 this season (ranked 23rd). Dallas ranks higher with an A/TO of 1.78 (ranked seventh).
The Thunder earn a league-high 47.6 rebounds per game, while the Mavericks rank 23rd with 42.1 per game.
Oklahoma City is ranked second in defensive rebounds, while Dallas ranks 19th in offensive rebounds.
Dallas averages a forced turnover rate of 16.0% this season, ranked third in the league. Oklahoma City has a 13-14 record when they suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this.
