The San Antonio Spurs (43-32) will attempt to continue their seven-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder (44-31) at AT&T Center. The game can be seen on TNT at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 29, 2018.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Prediction
In the Thunder’s last game, they were beaten by the Portland Trail Blazers, 108-105. Portland out-rebounded Oklahoma City. The Trail Blazers had 18 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Thunder had 13 and 39, respectively. Russell Westbrook led Oklahoma City in scoring with 23 points on 9-for-20 shooting.
The Spurs lost to the Washington Wizards in their last game, 116-106. Washington’s 27.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over San Antonio, who had a rate of 20.0. The Wizards’ mark was above their season average of 23.6. San Antonio’s Bryn Forbes recorded 12 points and six assists in the contest.
San Antonio figures to have the edge on the defensive side of the ball. The Spurs currently rank sixth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.506), while Oklahoma City is 19th in effective field goal percentage (0.515).
Oklahoma City holds records of 44-31 straight up (SU) and 30-43-2 against the spread (ATS). Of the Thunder’s 75 games, 41 have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, San Antonio is 43-32 SU and 38-33-4 ATS. Just over half of Spurs games have also finished under the O/U total.
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Steven Adams (17.4 points, 9.4 rebounds and 1.4 blocks) has been stellar for the Thunder while LaMarcus Aldridge (35.6 points, 9.4 rebounds and 2.0 blocks) has made solid contributions to the Spurs.
The Thunder lead the season series against the Spurs two games to one, including a 10-point victory in their last matchup. Oklahoma City covered as a 4-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 198 points, which was 12 points below the projected point total of 210 points. The Thunder had a much better free throw rate (0.188 vs. 0.047) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (22.9 vs. 13.6). Westbrook put up a triple-double in the victory, with 21 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Oklahoma City is 15-22 ATS on the road with 19 unders and 18 overs.
At home, San Antonio is 23-13-1 ATS with 19 overs and 18 unders.
San Antonio is 29-10 when they allow less than 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 21-5.
The Thunder are 40-16 when they score more than 100 points, while the Spurs are 33-12.
San Antonio ranks fifth in three pointers allowed per game (26.5) while Oklahoma City ranks 25th (30.6).
The Thunder rank fourth in fast break points per game (14.8) while the Spurs rank 24th (9.9).
Oklahoma City ranks first in steals per game (8.9) while San Antonio ranks 20th (7.5).
The Thunder rank first in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while the Spurs rank 19th (16.2).
San Antonio ranks 15th in assists per game (22.9) while Oklahoma City ranks 28th (21.3).
The Thunder rank first in second chance points per game (15.0) while the Spurs rank 13th in second chance points allowed per game (12.1).
San Antonio ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Oklahoma City ranks ninth (4.6).
The Thunder rank fifth in rebounds per game (44.8) while the Spurs rank ninth (44.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Oklahoma City is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
San Antonio is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.4, up from 3.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 104.0 points per game (1.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 101.4 points per game (2.0 above their season average).
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