The TCU Horned Frogs (11-19) and Oklahoma Sooners (23-6) will square off at Ed & Rae Schollmaier Arena for this game. The game gets underway at 1:00 pm ET on Saturday, Mar. 5 and can be seen on ESW and ES3.
The Horned Frogs are hoping to rebound after their 79-54 loss to Kansas State on Wednesday. Vladimir Brodziansky had a good game for TCU, contributing nine points, six rebounds, and one block. The Sooners, meanwhile, are coming off a 73-71 win against Baylor on Tuesday. Ryan Spangler claimed his 12th double-double of the season with 15 points and 13 rebounds.
The Horned Frogs do a great job at getting to the charity stripe. They rank 12th in the nation in FTA rate (45.4), but Oklahoma is among the best in the nation at keeping opponents off the line (ranking 17th by allowing a FTA rate of 27.3). Furthermore, the defense of the Sooners should have an advantage in terms of eFG%. They’re 32nd in the nation in forcing misses (opponents’ eFG% of 46.1%), while the offense of the Horned Frogs ranks 325th in eFG% (45.6%).
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Sooners won the first game 95-72. Isaiah Cousins played a huge role in the victory by recording a double-double with 13 points and 10 rebounds.
The Horned Frogs come into this game 11-19 Straight Up (SU) and 10-15 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 3-7 ATS over their last 10 games.
Across the court, the Sooners have 23-6 SU and 12-15 ATS records. They sport the 17th-ranked scoring offense in the country, averaging 81.1 points per game. Oklahoma is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the nation, hitting .428 of their shots from three-point range. The Sooners have controlled the glass with an average of 39.7 rebounds per game, 38th in the country. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Sooners on the defensive end. They allowed 76.5 points per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 70.4. Oklahoma’s defense is one of the top in the nation, with opponents shooting only .403 from the field. Blocking shots is an area where Oklahoma has excelled. The Sooners average 5.3 blocks per game, making them one of the best in the nation.
Following the Sooners’ latest win over TCU, their SU record is now 8-1 over TCU in their most recent meetings. The Sooners also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-3. Oklahoma held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers three times in the last five matchups. On the other side of the court, TCU never accomplished this feat in that span.
Predictions: SU Winner – Okla, ATS Winner – Okla
Notes
“TCU is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games “.
“TCU is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games “.
“The total has gone UNDER in 11 of TCU’s last 16 games “.
“TCU is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home”.
“TCU is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of TCU’s last 6 games at home”.
“TCU is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oklahoma”.
Oklahoma holds an 11-6 SU record against the Big 12 Conference this season, while TCU has an underachieving 2-15 SU record against the conference.
Oklahoma is one of the top-scoring teams on the road, averaging 78.5 points per game (ranked 15th). TCU, on the other hand, allows 67.9 points per home game (ranked 119th).
Oklahoma won its last game by a two-point margin. In games decided by a margin of three points or less, TCU is 1-0. Oklahoma is 6-2 in close games this season.
Ranked 41st, the Oklahoma Sooners have an offensive rating of 113.4. The TCU Horned Frogs rank 127th with a defensive rating of just 103.3.
The Oklahoma Sooners average a field goal percentage of 45.7% this season. The TCU Horned Frogs are a winless 0-11 when opponents have a FG% of 45.7% or greater.
The TCU Horned Frogs rank higher based on their field goal percentage (315th) than their effective field goal percentage (325th). The Oklahoma Sooners rank higher based on their effective field goal percentage (28th) than their field goal percentage (93rd).
Oklahoma ranks 86th in assists, recording 14.9 per game. TCU performs worse at 283rd with 11.8 assists per game.
Oklahoma, the 38th-ranked team in rebounding, registers an average of 39.7 rebounds per game. TCU does worse, ranked 283rd with 34.0.
The TCU Horned Frogs make an average of 6.2 steals per game. When the Oklahoma Sooners allow 6 or more steals, they are a fantastic 18-3.
