The Oklahoma Sooners (4-1) clash against the Dayton Flyers (4-1) in the Battle 4 Atlantis at Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort. The game gets underway at 11:30 a.m. ET on Friday, November 23, 2018.
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Dayton Flyers Free Prediction
The Sooners are trying to rebound after their 78-58 loss to the No. 25 Wisconsin Badgers in their last outing. Wisconsin’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Oklahoma. The Badgers had a rate of 11.1 (worse than their season average of 10.8), while the Sooners posted a mark of 21.2 (above their season average of 14.8). Christian James led Oklahoma in scoring with 18 points on 7-for-12 shooting.
In the Flyers’ previous game, they were beaten by the No. 4 Virginia Cavaliers, 66-59. Virginia’s 0.347 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Dayton, who had a rate of 0.087. The Cavaliers’ mark was above their season average of 0.202, while the Flyers’ was below their season average of 0.283. With 11 points and seven assists, Dayton’s Jalen Crutcher had a solid performance.
Oklahoma comes into the contest with records of 4-1 straight up (SU) and 3-0-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to set the total high when the Sooners are involved, as three of their 4 games have gone under the total.
Meanwhile, Dayton owns records of 4-1 SU and 2-2 ATS. Much like Oklahoma, games including the Flyers also have typically gone under the total (75.0 percent).
When considering effective field goal percentage, Dayton figures to have a considerable advantage. Since the 2017-18 season, the Flyers offense ranks 24th in that metric at 0.557, while the Oklahoma defense ranks 198th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.506). This contest should be a battle of contrasting styles. The up-tempo Sooners rank seventh in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Flyers rank 293rd.
Oklahoma vs. Dayton Betting Pick
Free Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Dayton, ATS Winner – Oklahoma, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Oklahoma ranks 21st in rebounds per game (39.2) while Dayton ranks 308th (31.8).
The Flyers rank 10th in blocks allowed per game (2.3) while the Sooners rank 258th (4.3).
Dayton ranks 49th in assists per game (15.6) while Oklahoma ranks 256th in assists allowed per game (14.7).
The Flyers average 22.7 three pointers per game, which ranks 138th in the NCAA. The Sooners rank 297th in three pointers allowed per game (25.4).
Oklahoma ranks 127th in steals per game (6.5) while Dayton ranks 261st (5.1).
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