Two teams that like to run the football, Head Coach Gary Patterson and the TCU Horned Frogs are getting 7.5 points as they prepare to welcome the No. 9 Oklahoma Sooners to Amon G. Carter Stadium. This important Big 12 showdown is scheduled to get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET and ABC has the TV rights.
Oklahoma Sooners vs. TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview
TCU is entering this Big 12 matchup as a big underdog and is currently getting 7.5 points. The Sooners are also receiving -330 moneyline odds while the Horned Frogs are +250. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 61 points, and if one side finds paydirt early, it will likely result in a worthy betting scenario in-game.
The Sooners are down 1.0 unit so far and 2-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U mark of 5-1. The Horned Frogs have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 4.7 units. The team is 1-4-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-4.
The Sooners are 5-1 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against conference opponents. The Horned Frogs are 3-3 SU overall and are also 1-2 SU in conference play.
The Sooners are reeling from a 48-45 defeat to Texas on October 6 where Kyler Murray completed 19-of-26 passes for 304 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Murray (92 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Trey Sermon (54 yards on nine carries, one TD). Marquise Brown (nine receptions, 131 yards, two TDs) and CeeDee Lamb (six catches, 75 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
TCU just fell 17-14 to Texas Tech. Shawn Robinson completed 26-of-45 passes for 290 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Darius Anderson (39 rushing yards on 12 attempts) led the running game while Jalen Reagor (eight receptions, 73 yards, one TD) and KaVontae Turpin (six catches, 120 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Oklahoma’s run the ball on 56.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while TCU has a rush percentage of 51.6 percent. The Sooners have produced 209 rush yards per game (including 189 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 16 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Horned Frogs are logging 176 rushing yards per game (126 in conference) and have eight total rush TDs.
The Sooners offensive scheme has averaged 316 yards in the air overall (363 per game versus conference opposition) and has 22 passing scores so far. The Horned Frogs have produced 238 pass yards per outing (234.3 against Big 12 competition) and have 10 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Oklahoma has allowed 157 rush yards and 264 pass yards per game. The TCU D has allowed 182.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 129.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Horned Frogs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.09 to opponents, while the Sooners have given up a 6.65 ANY/A.
Offensively, Murray is up to 1,332 passing yards on the year, and has completed 69 percent of his 114 attempts with 15 passing scores and only three interceptions. Murray’s got a sparkling 12.23 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 16.82 over the past two outings.
On the other sideline, Shawn Robinson has completed 100-of-167 passes for 1,131 yards, eight TDs and seven INTs. Robinson’s ANY/A sits at 5.54 for the year and 5.01 across his last two games.
RELATED: Week 8 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Prediction: Oklahoma Sooners at TCU Horned Frogs
SU Winner – Oklahoma, ATS Winner – Oklahoma, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Trends
The TCU defense has produced 17 sacks on the year while Oklahoma has 16.
The TCU offense has lost six fumbles this season while the Oklahoma offense has lost three.
The Sooners offense has produced 12 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Horned Frogs have put up five such plays.
The Oklahoma defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while TCU has given up seven such plays.
The Oklahoma offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while TCU has created three such runs.
The Sooners defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Horned Frogs have given up three such runs.
The O/U for TCU’s previous matchup was 57.5. The under cashed in the 17-14 defeat to Texas Tech.
In its last three matchups, TCU is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
Over its last three games, Oklahoma is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Oklahoma’s last game was 59. The over cashed in the team’s 48-45 defeat to Texas.
As a team, Oklahoma has produced 6.7 yards per carry across its last three games and 6.4 over its last two.
TCU has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.1 over its last two.
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