The No. 22 Auburn Tigers (14-1, 2-0 SEC) put their 12-game winning streak on the line when they square off against the Ole Miss Rebels (9-6, 2-1 SEC) at Auburn Arena. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 9, 2018, and will air on ESPNU.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 162 points with Auburn opening as a 9.5-point favorite.
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Auburn Tigers ATS Prediction
In the Rebels’ last game, they beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs, 64-58. The Rebels had a solid turnover percentage of 8.9 (better than their season average of 14.3), while the Bulldogs had a free throw rate of 0.143 (below their season average of 0.231). Ole Miss was led by Deandre Burnett, who was the game’s leading scorer with 21 points on 6-for-10 shooting.
The Tigers beat the No. 22 Arkansas Razorbacks in their last contest, 88-77. The Tigers knocked down 17 of their 22 free throws (77.3 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.612 (above their season average of 0.531). With 15 points and eight rebounds, Auburn’s DeSean Murray had a solid performance.
Auburn could dominate the offensive glass in this showdown. The Tigers are among the nation’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 12th in offensive rebounding percentage at 36.9 percent. Meanwhile, Ole Miss ranks 266th in the nation at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 69.2 percent.
Ole Miss has a solid 9-6 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 5-9 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Rebels tend to finish under the total (57.1 percent).
Meanwhile, Auburn is 14-1 SU and 8-4 ATS. Unlike Ole Miss, games involving the Tigers have a tendency to finish over the O/U total (58.3 percent).
Jared Harper has averaged 14.8 points and 5.6 assists over the last five games for Auburn.
After the Rebels won both contests against the Tigers last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the last contest, Ole Miss won 90-84. The Rebels knocked down 27 of their 31 free throws (87.1 percent) and had a much better turnover percentage (12.1 vs. 21.6).
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Auburn Tigers ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Auburn, ATS Winner – Ole Miss, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Ole Miss is 0-4 ATS on the road with 3 unders and 1 over.
At home, Auburn is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Auburn ranks 10th in rebounds per game (41.5) while Ole Miss ranks 223rd in rebounds allowed per game (38.6).
The Tigers average 15.7 assists per game, which ranks 57th in the nation. The Rebels rank 211th in assists allowed per game (16.1).
Ole Miss ranks 41st in three pointers attempted per game (25.9) while Auburn ranks 184th in three pointers allowed per game (23.7).
The Rebels rank 38th in steals allowed per game (5.4) while the Tigers rank 106th (6.7).
Auburn averages 6.4 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the NCAA. Ole Miss ranks 37th in blocks allowed per game (2.7).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Auburn is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games.
The Rebels’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.0, up from 4.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 90.0 points per game (2.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 75.8 points per game (2.7 above their season average).
