The Ole Miss Rebels (14-5, 4-2 SEC) travel to Florida to take on the Gators (11-8, 3-3 SEC) in a matchup that pits sensational offense against superb defense. The game can be seen on SEC Network at 6:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 30, 2019.
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Florida Gators ATS Prediction
The Rebels are hoping for a better outcome after their 87-73 loss to the No. 24 Iowa State Cyclones in their last game. Iowa State’s 0.764 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Ole Miss, who had a mark of 0.420. The Cyclones’ mark was above their season average of 0.548, while the Rebels’ was below their season average of 0.557. Terence Davis had a solid performance for Ole Miss, recording 16 points and six rebounds.
In the Gators’ last matchup, they fell to the TCU Horned Frogs, 55-50. TCU’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Florida. The Horned Frogs had a rate of 0.280 (above their season average of 0.232), while the Gators posted a mark of 0.065 (below their season average of 0.196). KeVaughn Allen had a good game for Florida, leading the team in scoring with 11 points on 4-for-13 shooting.
The offensive glass should be a huge edge for Florida in this battle. The Gators are among the nation’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 92nd in offensive rebounding percentage at 31.4 percent. Meanwhile, Ole Miss ranks 223rd in the NCAA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 71.0 percent. Moreover, the Rebels’ 40th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 113.0) will face off against the Gators’ 20th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 93.2).
After the Rebels won the lone contest against the Gators last season, 78-72, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Rebels made 22 of their 26 free throws (84.6 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.8 vs. 20.9).
Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss Rebels Betting Picks
Free Pick: SU Winner – Florida, ATS Winner – Ole Miss, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Florida ranks 36th in three pointers attempted per game (26.5) while Ole Miss ranks 176th (21.5).
The Gators rank 41st in assists allowed per game (11.2) while the Rebels rank 164th (13.8).
Ole Miss ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (31.5) while Florida ranks 146th (35.0).
The Gators average 4.6 blocks per game, which ranks 32nd in the NCAA. The Rebels rank 115th in blocks allowed per game (3.5).
Ole Miss ranks 49th in steals allowed per game (5.5) while Florida ranks 76th (5.9).
Bettings Trends:
The Rebels have been outscored by an average of 5.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Ole Miss has defeated opponents by an average of 8.3 points.
During their last five games, the Gators have scored an average of 65.6 points per game (3.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 65.6 points per game (4.1 above their season average).
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