Southeastern foes will lock horns when the Auburn Tigers (10-15) take on the Ole Miss Rebels (16-10) at Auburn Arena. Action begins at 5:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 20 and will air on SEC and ES3.
The Tigers were victorious over Arkansas 90-86 on Wednesday. Tyler Harris was a key piece with 19 points, five rebounds, and five assists. The Rebels, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their 71-56 loss at the hands of Texas A&M on Tuesday. Tomasz Gielo had a good game for Ole Miss, recording 15 points, eight rebounds, and one block.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Rebels winning the first matchup 80-63. Stefan Moody had a standout performance in the victory, putting up 24 points, three rebounds, five assists, one steal, and six three-pointers.
The Tigers are trying to improve upon their records of 10-15 Straight Up (SU) and 10-14 Against The Spread (ATS). Auburn is excellent from the perimeter with 232 three-pointers made (9.0 per game), the 44th-most in the country.
Over on the other bench, the Rebels have records of 14-11 ATS and 16-10 SU. The Rebels will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their most recent 10 games, their scoring has dropped to 66.2 PPG, compared to 72.2 for the duration of the season. The Rebels get to the line and convert their free throws at a high volume, ranking 40th in the nation with 461 made (17.0 per game). The Rebels are a force on the offensive glass, grabbing an average of 12.9 offensive rebounds per game. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Rebels on the defensive end. They allowed 78.4 points per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 72.0. When it comes to stealing the ball, the Rebels are one of the best in the nation with an average of 7.8 steals per game.
In their previous meeting this season, Ole Miss beat Auburn, bumping its SU record over their most recent meetings to 8-2. At 5-5, they are even ATS. Ole Miss held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers once in the last five matchups. On the other side of the court, Auburn never accomplished this feat in that span.
Predictions: SU Winner – Miss, ATS Winner – Miss
Notes
“Auburn is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games “.
“Auburn is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games “.
“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn’s last 7 games “.
“Auburn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home”.
“Auburn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home”.
“The total has gone OVER in 14 of Auburn’s last 21 games at home”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn’s last 6 games at home”.
“Auburn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Mississippi”.
“Auburn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi”.
“The total has gone OVER in 8 of Auburn’s last 12 games when playing Mississippi”.
“Auburn is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Mississippi”.
Auburn is struggling at 4-9 SU in its conference, while Ole Miss sits at 6-7 SU.
The Auburn Tigers average 72.5 possessions per game and .995 points per possession, while the Ole Miss Rebels earn fewer possessions (69.8) but more points per possession (1.070).
Auburn has an average effective field goal percentage of 48.0%. Ole Miss is a losing 5-8 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
Auburn attempts an average of 26.0 three pointers per game and Ole Miss attempts 22.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the Auburn Tigers have a losing 9-15 record while the Ole Miss Rebels have a 9-8 record.
The Ole Miss Rebels rank 43rd in offensive rebounds. The Auburn Tigers rank 171st in the nation in defensive rebounds.
On average, Auburn forces a turnover rate of 18.1%. When Ole Miss turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a winning 9-4 record.
