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Ole Miss Rebels – Mississippi State Bulldogs Preview – 01.23.2016

It will be a battle between Southeastern opponents when the Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-10) welcome the Ole Miss Rebels (12-6) to Humphrey Coliseum. The game starts at 2:00 pm ET on Saturday, Jan. 23 and will air on SEC and ES3.

The Bulldogs lost a winnable game to Florida 81-78 on Tuesday. Quinndary Weatherspoon was one of the best players for the Bulldogs, contributing 14 points, six rebounds, and three assists. The Rebels, meanwhile, are coming off a tough 77-74 loss to South Carolina on Tuesday. Stefan Moody had a game-high 24 points.

Sebastian Saiz has been on fire over the last five games for the Rebels, averaging 15.4 points, 9.0 rebounds, 1.8 steals, and 1.2 blocks.

Mississippi State, a five-point favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Ole Miss. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is currently unavailable. The Bulldogs are looking to improve on their records of 7-10 Straight Up (SU) and 10-4 Against The Spread (ATS). Mississippi State has been steady from the free throw line, shooting a stellar .737.

On the other side, the Rebels head into the game with records of 8-9 ATS and 12-6 SU. Ole Miss is one of the top foul-shooting teams in the nation, converting 18.0 shots from the line per game. Switching gears to the Ole Miss defense, it averages 8.1 steals per game, good for 35th in the nation.

These conference rivals will be facing off in their first head-to-head contest of the season. When they last met the Rebels were winners, moving their SU record against Mississippi State to 6-4 in their most recent head-to-head meetings. At 5-5, they are even ATS. Both Mississippi State and Ole Miss have led in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) once over the last five matchups.

Predictions: SU Winner – Miss, ATS Winner – Miss

Notes

Mississippi State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.

Mississippi State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State’s last 6 games when playing Mississippi.

Mississippi State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi.

Mississippi State is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Mississippi.

While Ole Miss is struggling at 2-4 against the Southeastern, Mississippi State remains winless at 0-5 SU.

In its last game, Ole Miss lost by a margin of three points. Mississippi State is 0-3 in games decided by a margin of three points or less. Ole Miss has a 2-1 record in close games.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs average a field goal percentage of 46.7% this season. The Ole Miss Rebels have an abysmal record of 1-5 when opponents have a FG% of 46.7% or greater.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Ole Miss Rebels both rank higher in average field goal percentage when compared to their effective field goal percentages. Mississippi State is 83rd and 59th in the nation for eFG% and FG% respectively, while Ole Miss ranks 259th and 248th in these categories.

Ole Miss, the 98th-ranked team in rebounding, registers an average of 38.3 rebounds per game. Mississippi State does worse, ranked 289th with 34.0.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs make an average of 6.2 steals per game. When the Ole Miss Rebels allow 6 or more steals, they are a stellar 8-2.

Written by GMS Previews

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