The Pac-12’s top team will be on the road when the No. 9 Oregon Ducks (23-6) head to Pauley Pavilion to take on the UCLA Bruins (15-14). The game starts at 9:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Mar. 2 and will air on ES2 and ES3.
The Bruins fell to Stanford 79-70 on Saturday. Bryce Alford finished with 20 points to lead the team. The Ducks, meanwhile, are coming off an 86-73 win over Washington on Sunday. Elgin Cook led the game in scoring with 26 points on 8-for-13 shooting.
Cook has been on a tear over the last five games for the Ducks, averaging 16.8 points, 4.6 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.0 steal, 0.8 blocks, and 0.6 three-pointers.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Ducks won the first game 86-72. Chris Boucher put up a double-double in the victory with 18 points and 10 rebounds.
The Bruins have gone 15-14 Straight Up (SU) and 11-18 Against The Spread (ATS). The rebounding edge goes to the Bruins in this matchup, who are one of the top rebounding teams in the nation with an average of 40.1 boards per game.
In the other locker room, the Ducks have records of 14-11-1 ATS and 23-6 SU.
Oregon beat UCLA in their most recent meeting this season, bringing its SU record in their most recent games to 7-3. Furthermore, Oregon holds the advantage ATS with a record of 7-3. Oregon held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers twice in the last five game, while UCLA wasn’t able to do so in that span.
Predictions: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Oregon
Notes
The UCLA Bruins average 77.9 points per game, ranking 58th in the nation. The Oregon Ducks rank 89th in points allowed with 68.7.
UCLA averages 80.0 points per home game (ranked 72nd). Oregon allows 72.5 points per away game (ranked 96th).
The Oregon Ducks have a defensive rating of 99.3 (ranked 63rd), while the UCLA Bruins have an offensive rating of 108.6 (ranked 110th).
The UCLA Bruins average 71.8 possessions per game and 1.086 points per possession, while the Oregon Ducks earn fewer possessions (69.0) but more points per possession (1.131).
The Oregon Ducks average an effective field goal percentage of 52.4% this season. The UCLA Bruins have a subpar record of 2-7 when opponents have an eFG% of 52.4% or greater.
The UCLA Bruins average 16.0 three point attempts per game, and the Oregon Ducks attempt 19.0 per game. When going for at least 20 three pointers in a game this season, UCLA is an even 4-4, while Oregon has a solid record of 12-5.
UCLA ranks 55th in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.28, while Oregon ranks 97th with an A/TO of 1.19.
UCLA, the 29th-ranked team in rebounding, register an average of 40.1 rebounds per game. Oregon does worse, ranked 214th with 35.6.
Oregon ranks 140th in offensive rebounds, while UCLA ranks at 34th in defensive rebounds.
On average, UCLA forces a turnover rate of 15.9%. When Oregon turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a solid 11-4 record.
