The Oregon Ducks (11-5, 1-2 Pac-12) travel to No. 11 Arizona State to take on the Sun Devils (13-2, 1-2 Pac-12) in what should be a high-scoring game. The game begins at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 11, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 159 points with Arizona State opening as an 8.5-point favorite.
Oregon Ducks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils ATS Prediction
In the Ducks’ last matchup, they were topped by the Oregon State Beavers, 76-64. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Oregon State’s biggest advantages. They made 25 trips to the line, while Oregon went just 11 times. Paul White led Oregon in scoring with 16 points on 5-for-12 shooting.
The Sun Devils edged the Utah Runnin’ Utes in their last contest, 80-77. Arizona State’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Sun Devils had more offensive rebounds (12 vs. three) and total rebounds (32 vs. 25). Shannon Evans was Arizona State’s leading scorer with 22 points on 5-for-12 shooting.
This battle figures to be a shootout as two of the NCAA’s top offenses clash. Arizona State ranks seventh with 121.3 points per 100 possessions and Oregon is 60th (113.1).
Oregon has a respectable 11-5 straight up (SU) record, but they have a hard time covering the spread (6-9 against the spread (ATS)). Vegas is exceedingly precise when predicting totals of Ducks games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, Arizona State is 13-2 SU and 10-2-3 ATS. Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Sun Devils are involved, as nine of their 14 games have gone over the total.
Remy Martin has averaged 11.0 points and 3.2 assists over the last five games for Arizona State.
After the Ducks won both contests against the Sun Devils last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent game, Oregon won 80-57. The Ducks had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (37.1 vs. 16.7) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.557 vs. 0.385).
Oregon Ducks at Arizona State Sun Devils Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Arizona State, ATS Winner – Oregon, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Oregon is 1-4 ATS on the road with 3 unders and 2 overs.
At home, Arizona State is 6-1-1 ATS with 5 overs and 3 unders.
Oregon ranks 51st in three pointers attempted per game (25.6) while Arizona State ranks 250th in three pointers allowed per game (26.2).
The Ducks rank 28th in assists allowed per game (10.8) while the Sun Devils rank 185th (14.8).
Oregon ranks 17th in blocks per game (5.6) while Arizona State ranks 105th (3.3).
The Ducks average 38.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 63rd in the nation. The Sun Devils rank 140th in rebounds allowed per game (35.3).
Arizona State is 26th in the NCAA with 5.1 steals allowed per game while Oregon is 59th with 5.6 steals allowed per game.
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Oregon is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Arizona State is 1-2-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Ducks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, down from 11.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Sun Devils have scored an average of 87.6 points per game (1.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 75.4 points per game (1.3 above their season average).
