The Oregon State Beavers (+21) are heading west to visit the Stanford Cardinal at Stanford Stadium. Kickoff is fairly late for bettors on the East Coast (9:00 p.m. ET) and fans can catch it live by tuning in to Pac-12 Networks.
Oregon State Beavers at Stanford Cardinal Betting Preview
Oregon State is a big road underdog here and is currently receiving three touchdowns by bookmakers. If the Beavers get out in front early it would generate a worthy betting scenario in-game. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 58.5 points.
The line opened at -23 but has recently moved higher to -21. The game’s O/U hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 58.5.
The Beavers have lost 4.0 units so far and are 3-6 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 6-3. The Cardinal have lost 1.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-4 ATS and the over has hit in five of their games.
The Beavers are 2-7 straight up (SU), including 1-5 SU against conference opponents. The Cardinal are 5-4 SU overall and 3-3 SU in conference play.
When these two teams met a year ago, Stanford got the victory 15-14.
The Beavers are trying to get back in stride after a 38-21 loss to USC last week. Jake Luton completed 31 passes for 301 yards and one touchdown. Jermar Jefferson (58 yards on 18 rush attempts) mounted the ground attack. Trevon Bradford (10 receptions, 63 yards) and Isaiah Hodgins (eight catches, 129 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Stanford just lost 27-23 to Washington. The defense allowed the Huskies to run for 177 yards on 45 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Myles Gaskin had a good showing for Washington, recording 148 rushing yards and a score on 28 attempts. For Stanford, K.J. Costello completed 29-of-43 passes for 347 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Bryce Love (71 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) handled the running game while Kaden Smith (eight receptions, 107 yards, one TD) and Colby Parkinson (five catches, 79 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Oregon State’s run the ball on 54.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Stanford has an overall rush percentage of 45.7 percent. The Beavers have run for 168 yards per game (including 146 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 22 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Cardinal are putting up 93 rush yards per game (99 in conference) and have nine total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Cardinal might be the more disruptive team in the trenches, as their offensive line has yielded just 17 sacks while their D-line has registered 23 sacks. The Beavers O-line has given up 42 sacks and their defense has got to opposing signal-callerss just nine times.
The Beavers offensive scheme has logged 249 yards per game in the air overall (217 per game versus conference opposition) and has 12 passing TDs so far. The Cardinal have produced 279 pass yards per game (298.7 in the Pac-12) and have 19 total pass scores.
Oregon State has allowed opponents to run for an average of 275 yards and throw for 262 yards per game. The Stanford D has given up 266.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 145.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Cardinal are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.31 to opposing QBs, while the Beavers have allowed a whopping 9.05 ANY/A.
Offensively, Luton is up to 673 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 59-of-90 attempts with two scores through the air and one interception. Luton’s got a 6.04 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.03 over the last two games.
Isaiah Hodgins (515 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns on the year), Jermar Jefferson (957 rush yards, 12 rush TDs, 99 receiving yards) and Timmy Hernandez (436 receiving yards, one TD) have all played key roles lately.
K.J. Costello has connected on 165-of-254 passes for 2,189 yards, 15 TDs and nine INTs for Stanford. His ANY/A stands at 7.36 for the year and 7.30 over his last two outings.
Similar to the Beavers, expect a balanced approach offensively from Stanford this Saturday. As a group, Kaden Smith, Bryce Love and Trenton Irwin have combined to account for 532 total yards and four touchdowns over the last two games.
Free Pick: Oregon State Beavers at Stanford Cardinal
SU Winner – Stanford, ATS Winner – Oregon State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
The O/U for Oregon State’s previous game going into it was 64.5. The under cashed in the team’s 38-21 loss to USC.
As a team, Oregon State has averaged 2.0 yards per rush attempt over its last three outings and 1.9 over its last two.
Stanford has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.3 over its past two.
Stanford has lost three fumbles this season while Oregon State has lost six.
Over its last three matches, Oregon State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Stanford’s last game was set at 43.5. The over cashed in that 27-23 defeat to Washington.
Over its last three games, Stanford is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Stanford has lost five of its last six games SU, with a seven-point win over Arizona State on October 18th representing its lone victory over that stretch.
The Beavers offense has registered seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cardinal have put up five such plays.
The Oregon State defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Stanford has given up five such plays.
The Oregon State offense has created 20 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Stanford has created eight such runs.
The Beavers defense has allowed 29 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cardinal have given up 12 such runs.
The Stanford D has notched 23 sacks on the year while Oregon State has just nine.
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