The Golden State Warriors (14-7) go head-to-head against the Orlando Magic (10-10) at ORACLE Arena. The game will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 26, 2018.
Golden State opened as an 8-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 214.5 points.
Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors Free Prediction
The Magic come in on a high note after defeating the Los Angeles Lakers in their last game, 108-104, as 8.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (212) were just over the O/U total of 210. Orlando’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Los Angeles. The Magic had a rate of 19.6 (below their season average of 20.8), while the Lakers posted a mark of 12.2 (below their season average of 23.2). Orlando received a boost from Nikola Vucevic, who was the game’s leading scorer with 31 points on 10-for-20 shooting.
In the Warriors’ last game, they barely escaped the Sacramento Kings, 117-116, but were unable to cover as 6.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (233) came in over the projected point total of 226. The Warriors knocked down 25 of their 29 free throws (86.2 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.1 (above their season average of 23.0). Kevin Durant was the top scorer from either team with 44 points on 13-for-26 shooting from the field.
Golden State figures to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Warriors currently rank second in offensive efficiency, while Orlando ranks 15th in defensive efficiency. Moreover, the Magic rank fifth in turnover percentage (12.9 percent), while the Warriors rank 27th in opponents’ turnover percentage (11.8 percent).
Orlando comes into the contest with records of 10-10 straight up (SU) and 10-8-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Magic’s 19 games with betting action, 12 have gone under the total.
Golden State is 14-7 SU, but they have a hard time covering the spread (9-12 ATS). In opposition of Orlando, games including the Warriors have finished over the projected point total 52.4 percent of the time.
Vucevic has averaged 25 points,11.4 rebounds,3.4 assists over the last five games for Orlando.
After the Warriors won both contests against the Magic last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, Golden State won 133-112. Golden State’s effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Orlando. The Warriors had a rate of 0.693 while the Magic posted a mark of 0.516.
Magic at Warriors Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Orlando is 4-2-1 ATS on the road with 4 unders and 3 overs.
At home, Golden State is 7-5 ATS with 7 unders and 5 overs.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Golden State is 2-0 and Orlando is 2-1.
The Magic are 9-3 when they reach the century mark, while the Warriors are 14-3.
Orlando ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.7) while Golden State ranks 20th (8.0).
The Warriors rank fifth in fast break points per game (17.0) while the Magic rank 22nd (11.2).
Orlando ranks 11th in three pointers allowed per game (30.1) while Golden State ranks 26th (34.1).
The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while the Magic rank 14th (5.0).
Orlando averages 26.2 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Golden State ranks 19th in assists allowed per game (24.0).
The Magic rank 15 in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Warriors rank 25 (11.857142857142858).
Golden State ranks 14 in rebounds per game (45.714285714285715) while Orlando ranks 23 in rebounds allowed per game (46.55).
The Magic rank 25 in points in the paint per game (43.9) while the Warriors rank 29 (40.38095238095238).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, Orlando is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Golden State is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Magic have outscored opponents by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Orlando has been defeated by an average of 2.9 points.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (8.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.4 points per game (0.3 below their season average).
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