The Orlando Magic (22-54) look to snap their nine-game road losing streak in a matchup against the New York Knicks (27-50) at Madison Square Garden. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 3, 2018, and will air on Fox SportsNet Florida.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 210 points with New York set as a 1-point favorite.
Orlando Magic at New York Knicks Free Prediction
The last time the Magic played, they were topped by the Atlanta Hawks, 94-88. Atlanta’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Orlando. The Hawks had a rate of 0.547 (above their season average of 0.512), while the Magic posted a mark of 0.396 (below their season average of 0.515). Nikola Vucevic had a good outing for Orlando, putting up 10 points and 14 rebounds.
The Knicks fell to the Detroit Pistons in their last game, 115-109. Detroit’s 0.200 free throw rate was their largest strength over New York, who had a rate of 0.110. The Pistons’ mark was above their season average of 0.168, while the Knicks’ was below their season average of 0.175. New York’s Trey Burke finished with 18 points, 15 assists and five rebounds in the contest.
The offensive glass should be a huge advantage for New York in this meeting. The Knicks rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.4 percent), while Orlando ranks 30th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.5 percent).
Orlando heads into the game with records of 22-54 straight up (SU) and 33-41-2 against the spread (ATS). Games including the Magic have a tendency to finish under the total (59.2 percent).
Meanwhile, New York owns records of 27-50 SU and 36-41 ATS. Unlike Orlando, Knicks games have a slight tendency to go over the total (49.4 percent).
Burke has averaged 22.0 points, 6.4 assists and 1.4 steals over the last five games for New York.
The Magic lead the season series against the Knicks two games to one, but dropped their most recent game, 120-113. Orlando covered as a 4-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 233 points, which was 17 points above the projected point total of 216 points. New York’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Knicks had more offensive rebounds (16 vs. five) and total rebounds (47 vs. 39). Despite the loss, Evan Fournier had a standout performance with 25 points, five rebounds and five assists.
Orlando Magic vs. New York Knicks Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Orlando is 19-18-1 ATS on the road with 21 unders and 17 overs.
At home, New York is 20-17 ATS with 19 unders and 18 overs.
Orlando is 10-9 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while New York is 13-3.
The Magic are 22-29 when they reach 100 points, while the Knicks are 26-28.
New York ranks sixth in second chance points per game (13.6) while Orlando ranks 27th (10.7).
The Knicks average 46.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Magic rank 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.7).
Orlando ranks 12th in fast break points per game (12.7) while New York ranks 29th (8.5).
The Knicks average 44.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Magic rank 26th in rebounds allowed per game (45.7).
Orlando ranks 14th in three pointers attempted per game (29.4) while New York ranks 29th (23.0).
The Magic rank 17th in steals per game (7.7) while the Knicks rank 29th (6.8).
New York ranks ninth in blocks per game (5.1) while Orlando ranks 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.0).
The Knicks rank 14th in assists per game (23.1) while the Magic rank 22nd in assists allowed per game (24.4).
Orlando averages 15.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 21st in the league. New York ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Orlando is 0-5 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
New York is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.0, up from 4.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 108.6 points per game (4.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (6.9 above their season average).
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