The Portland Trail Blazers (12-8) challenge the Orlando Magic (10-11) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game will air on NBATV at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018.
Orlando Magic vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Prediction
Although the Magic were beaten by the Golden State Warriors in their last game, 116-110, they were able to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (226) were over the O/U total of 214. Golden State’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Orlando. The Warriors had a rate of 26.3 (above their season average of 23.1), while the Magic posted a mark of 14.3 (below their season average of 20.7). Nikola Vucevic led Orlando in scoring with 30 points on 12-for-21 shooting.
In the Trail Blazers’ last game, they fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 104-100, despite being 4-point favorites. The game’s total points (204) were well under the O/U total of 227.5. Getting to the free throw line was one of Los Angeles’ largest advantages. They made 34 trips to the line, while Portland went just 10 times. Damian Lillard had a good performance for Portland, leading the team in scoring with 30 points on 12-for-27 shooting.
Orlando could put on a ball-control clinic in this meeting. Orlando ranks fourth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.8 percent), while Portland forces the first-fewest turnovers (11.3 percent).
Orlando heads into the game with records of 10-11 straight up (SU) and 12-8-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Magic’s 21 games, 13 have gone under the total.
Meanwhile, Portland is 12-8 SU and 11-9 ATS. Contrary to Orlando, Trail Blazers games have typically finished over the projected point total (55.0 percent).
Vucevic has averaged 25 points,12.8 rebounds,4.0 assists over the last five games for Orlando.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Lillard scored a game-high 41 points and the Trail Blazers beat the Magic 128-114, covering as 3.5-point favorites. He also put up 7 rebounds and 6 assists. The game finished with a total of 242 points, which was 28.5 points above the projected point total of 213.5 points. The Trail Blazers had a better turnover percentage (9.2 vs. 12.9) and had a better free throw rate (0.241 vs. 0.186).
Magic at Trail Blazers ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Orlando is 6-2-1 ATS with 5 unders and 4 overs.
Portland is 7-3 ATS at home with 6 unders and 4 overs.
When allowing below 100 points, Orlando is 2-1 and Portland is 4-0.
The Trail Blazers are 12-6 when they reach the century mark, while the Magic are 9-4.
Portland ranks second in rebounds per game (50.3) while Orlando ranks 23rd (42.4).
The Magic rank fifth in assists per game (26.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 25th (20.4).
Orlando averages 5.6 blocks per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Portland ranks 26th in blocks allowed per game (6.0).
The Magic rank 15th in steals per game (7.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (6.0).
Orlando ranks 15th in points off turnovers per game (16.9) while Portland ranks 28th (13.2).
The Trail Blazers rank 9 in second chance points per game (14.5) while the Magic rank 18 in second chance points allowed per game (13.666666666666666).
Orlando ranks 22 in fast break points per game (11.095238095238095) while Portland ranks 27 (10.25).
The Magic average 31.61904761904762 three pointers per game, which ranks 16 in the NBA. The Trail Blazers rank 19 in three pointers allowed per game (31.9).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five contests, Orlando is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Portland is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.0, down from 3.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 106.8 points per game (5.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 119.0 points per game (8.3 above their season average).
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