The Atlanta Hawks (21-55) look to snap their five-game losing streak when they clash with the Orlando Magic (22-53) at Philips Arena. The game will air on Fox SportsNet Florida at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 1, 2018.
Atlanta opened as a 2-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 209 points.
Orlando Magic at Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction
The last time the Magic played, they were beaten by the Chicago Bulls, 90-82. Chicago’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Orlando. The Bulls had a rate of 0.190 (above their season average of 0.166), while the Magic posted a mark of 0.138 (below their season average of 0.184). Nikola Vucevic had a solid game for Orlando, recording 12 points and 14 rebounds.
The Hawks fell to the Philadelphia 76ers in their last outing, 101-91. Philadelphia’s 0.484 effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Atlanta, who had a mark of 0.401. The 76ers’ mark was below their season average of 0.532, while the Hawks’ was below their season average of 0.513. Atlanta’s Dewayne Dedmon had 11 points and 15 rebounds in the game.
This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Orlando. Orlando ranks 21st in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.1 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Atlanta forces the fifth-most turnovers in the league (14.8 percent).
Orlando comes into the game with records of 22-53 straight up (SU) and 33-40-2 against the spread (ATS). Of the Magic’s 75 games, 44 have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Atlanta is 21-55 SU and 35-39-2 ATS. Coinciding with Orlando, a little over half of Hawks games have finished under the projected point total.
The Magic have won two out of three against the Hawks this season, escaping with a narrow 100-98 victory in their last matchup. Orlando covered as a 2-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 198 points, which was 11.5 points below the projected point total of 209.5 points. Orlando did a fantastic job of making free throws (19-22; 86.4 percent). Atlanta, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (24.3 vs. 17.8). D.J. Augustin had a standout performance in the victory, producing 18 points and nine assists.
Orlando Magic at Atlanta Hawks Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Orlando is 19-17-1 ATS on the road with 20 unders and 17 overs.
Atlanta is 18-20 ATS at home with 19 overs, 17 unders and 2 pushes.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Atlanta is 10-4 and Orlando is 10-8.
The Hawks are 18-30 when they reach the century mark, while the Magic are 22-29.
Atlanta ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (17.8) while Orlando ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
The Magic average 23.3 assists per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Hawks rank last in assists allowed per game (26.2).
Orlando ranks eighth in three pointers allowed per game (27.1) while Atlanta ranks 26th (30.6).
The Magic rank 10th in points in the paint per game (45.9) while the Hawks rank 28th (41.1).
Orlando averages 12.8 fast break points per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Atlanta ranks 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (13.2).
The Magic rank 14th in blocks per game (4.8) while the Hawks rank 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
Atlanta ranks 16th in second chance points per game (12.1) while Orlando ranks 26th (10.7).
The Magic rank 17th in steals per game (7.7) while the Hawks rank 25th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
Atlanta ranks 22nd in rebounds allowed per game (44.0) while Orlando ranks 26th (45.6).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Orlando is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.2, up from 4.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 97.6 points per game (5.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.2 points per game (2.1 above their season average).
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