The Orlando Magic (13-32) look to snap their 11-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Boston Celtics (34-12) at TD Garden. The game starts at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 21, 2018, and will air on Fox SportsNet Florida.
Boston is a 10.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 208 points.
Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics Betting Prediction
In the Magic’s last outing, they were defeated by the Cleveland Cavaliers, 104-103. Cleveland won the rebounding battle. The Cavaliers had 14 offensive rebounds and 46 total rebounds, while the Magic had nine and 42, respectively. Aaron Gordon had a solid outing for Orlando, finishing with 17 points and 10 rebounds.
The Celtics were beaten by the Philadelphia 76ers in their last game, 89-80. Philadelphia’s rebounding was their biggest advantage. The 76ers had more offensive rebounds (eight vs. three), defensive rebounds (33 vs. 28) and total rebounds (41 vs. 31). With 14 points, Boston’s Al Horford put together a good game.
Boston should have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Celtics currently rank first in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.484), while Orlando is 17th in effective field goal percentage (0.516).
Orlando holds records of 13-32 straight up (SU) and 18-26-1 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Magic have typically finished under the total (55.6 percent).
Meanwhile, Boston is 34-12 SU and 27-17-2 ATS. Coinciding with Orlando, games involving the Celtics have finished under the total 52.2 percent of the time.
The Celtics have won both games against the Magic this season, including a 15-point victory in their last matchup. Boston covered as a 7-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 221 points, which was 12.5 points above the projected point total of 208.5 points. The Celtics had a better free throw rate (0.187 vs. 0.126) and had a better turnover percentage (7.3 vs. 10.4). Kyrie Irving was the game’s leading scorer with 30 points.
Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Orlando is 11-13-1 ATS with 13 unders and 12 overs.
At home, Boston is 13-10-2 ATS with 13 overs and 12 unders.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Orlando is 6-3 and Boston is 24-2.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Magic are 13-17 and the Celtics are 24-5.
Boston ranks fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (41.7) while Orlando ranks last (49.6).
The Celtics rank second in assists allowed per game (20.0) while the Magic rank 27th (24.5).
Boston ranks sixth in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while Orlando ranks 27th (13.6).
The Celtics rank 10th in rebounds per game (44.4) while the Magic rank last in rebounds allowed per game (46.0).
Boston ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (9.2) while Orlando ranks 22nd (12.5).
The Magic rank 21st in points off turnovers per game (15.6) while the Celtics rank 28th (14.5).
Boston ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (31.5) while Orlando ranks eighth in three pointers allowed per game (26.6).
The Celtics rank 17th in steals per game (7.6) while the Magic rank 18th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Orlando is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Boston is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.6, down from 5.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 97.0 points per game (5.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 95.4 points per game (2.5 below their season average).
