The Denver Nuggets (11-7) go head-to-head against the Orlando Magic (9-9) at the Pepsi Center. The game will air on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 23, 2018.
Denver opened as a 7-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 214.5 points.
Orlando Magic vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Prediction
Although the Magic were defeated by the Toronto Raptors in their last matchup, 93-91, they were able to cover as 7-point underdogs. The game’s total points (184) were well under the O/U total of 218.5. Toronto’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Orlando. The Raptors had a rate of 0.500 (below their season average of 0.548), while the Magic posted a mark of 0.452 (below their season average of 0.518). Nikola Vucevic played well for Orlando, putting up 14 points and 18 rebounds.
In the Nuggets’ last matchup, they edged the Minnesota Timberwolves, 103-101, covering as 1-point favorites. The total points for the game (204) were well under the O/U total of 219.5. The Nuggets forced 17 turnovers and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.551 (above their season average of 0.524). Paul Millsap was the game’s high scorer with 25 points on 11-for-13 shooting from the field.
After the Nuggets won both games against the Magic last season, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. In the last matchup, Denver won 103-89. Denver’s 0.529 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Orlando, who had a mark of 0.428.
Orlando comes into the contest with records of 9-9 straight up (SU) and 10-7-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Magic’s 18 games, 11 have finished under the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Denver owns records of 11-7 SU and 9-9 ATS. Similarly to Orlando, Nuggets games also tend to go under the total (61.1 percent).
Vucevic has averaged 26 points,11.2 rebounds,3.4 assists,1.2 steals over the last five games for Orlando.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams clash. Denver ranks 23rd in possessions per game (101.0) and Orlando is 24th (101.0).
Orlando Magic vs. Denver Nuggets Free Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Orlando is 4-1-1 ATS with 3 overs and 3 unders.
Denver is 6-4 ATS at home with 5 overs and 5 unders.
Orlando is 2-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Denver is 6-1.
The Nuggets are 11-4 when they score over 100 points, while the Magic are 8-3.
Denver ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.2) while Orlando ranks 22nd (46.6).
The Magic rank first in steals allowed per game (6.3) while the Nuggets rank 17th (7.8).
Orlando averages 6.0 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Denver ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.9).
The Nuggets rank seventh in second chance points per game (14.9) while the Magic rank 17th in second chance points allowed per game (13.6).
Orlando averages 26.1 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Denver ranks 11th in assists allowed per game (23.3).
The Magic average 16.88888888888889 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 15 in the NBA. The Nuggets rank 19 in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.72222222222222).
Denver averages 52.888888888888886 points in the paint per game, which ranks 6 in the NBA. Orlando ranks 7 in points allowed in the paint per game (45.77777777777778).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five contests, Orlando is 4-0-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Denver is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Magic have outscored opponents by an average of 4.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Orlando has been defeated by an average of 2.1 points.
During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 110.6 points per game (0.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (2.1 above their season average).
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