The Orlando Magic (12-29) will attempt to snap their five-game losing streak when they go head-to-head with the Milwaukee Bucks (21-18) at BMO Harris Bradley Center. The game can be seen on Fox SportsNet Florida at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 10, 2018.
Milwaukee opened as a 10-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 217.5 points.
Orlando Magic vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction
The Magic are hoping for a better outcome after their 114-99 loss to the Dallas Mavericks in their last matchup. Dallas’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over Orlando. The Mavericks had a rate of 4.1 (better than their season average of 11.7), while the Magic posted a mark of 12.8. Orlando’s Marreese Speights played well, contributing 13 points and 10 rebounds.
The last time the Bucks played, they fell to the Indiana Pacers, 109-96. Indiana’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Milwaukee. The Pacers had a rate of 21.6 (below their season average of 22.1), while the Bucks posted a mark of 13.5 (below their season average of 19.0). With 19 points on 6-for-14 shooting, Khris Middleton was the top scorer from either team.
Milwaukee should have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Bucks currently rank seventh in offensive efficiency, while the Magic rank 28th in defensive efficiency.
Orlando holds records of 12-29 straight up (SU) and 14-25-1 against the spread (ATS). Games including the Magic have finished under the total 52.5 percent of the time.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee owns records of 21-18 SU and 18-16-5 ATS. Vegas is known to place the total low when the Bucks are involved, as 24 of their 40 games have gone over the total.
After the Bucks won two out of three matchups against the Magic last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last game, Orlando won 112-96. The Magic had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.8 vs. 20.4) and had a better turnover percentage (8.2 vs. 11.3).
Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Orlando is 8-12-1 ATS on the road with 11 overs and 10 unders.
At home, Milwaukee is 8-9-3 ATS with 12 overs, 7 unders and 1 push.
Orlando is 6-3 when they allow under 100 points, while Milwaukee is 8-2.
The Magic are 12-14 when they reach 100 points, while the Bucks are 17-11.
Milwaukee ranks sixth in rebounds allowed per game (41.7) while Orlando ranks last (46.4).
The Bucks average 47.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Magic rank 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.5).
Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (7.7) while Orlando ranks 22nd (12.5).
The Bucks rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.7) while the Magic rank 22nd (17.7).
Milwaukee ranks 11th in assists per game (22.9) while Orlando ranks 27th in assists allowed per game (24.7).
The Bucks average 8.4 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Magic rank 20th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
Milwaukee ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.8) while Orlando ranks 15th (4.8).
The Magic rank 13th in three pointers attempted per game (29.4) while the Bucks rank 26th (24.5).
Milwaukee ranks 15th in second chance points allowed per game (12.1) while Orlando ranks 25th (13.4).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Orlando is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Milwaukee is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push over their last five games.
The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.2, up from 5.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 113.0 points per game (7.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.6 points per game (8.2 above their season average).
