The New York Knicks (4-9) challenge the Orlando Magic (5-7) at Madison Square Garden. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 11, 2018, and will air on MSG Network.
New York opened as a 1-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 207.5 points.
Orlando Magic vs. New York Knicks Free Prediction
In the Magic’s last contest, they defeated the Washington Wizards, 117-108, as 4-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (225) came in over the projected point total of 221.5. The Magic held the Wizards to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.2 (below the 23.8 mark opponents have averaged against Orlando this season). The Wizards also had a turnover percentage of 16.6 (above their season average of 12.4). Orlando was lifted by Nikola Vucevic, who was the team’s leading scorer with 21 points on 10-for-16 shooting.
The Knicks were beaten by the Toronto Raptors in their last outing, 128-112, despite being 1.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (240) were over the O/U total of 225.5. One of Toronto’s biggest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They made 40 trips to the line, while New York went just 22 times. With 15 points and 15 rebounds, New York’s Enes Kanter had a solid game.
New York should have an advantage on the offensive glass in this contest. The Knicks are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking fifth in offensive rebounding percentage at 26.7 percent. Meanwhile, Orlando ranks 18th in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 76.8 percent.
Orlando heads into the contest with records of 5-7 straight up (SU) and 5-7 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Magic tend to finish under the total (66.7 percent).
New York is 7-4-1 ATS, despite being 4-9 SU. Knicks games also tend to finish under the total (58.3 percent).
After the Magic won three out of four meetings against the Knicks last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent matchup, Orlando won 97-73. The Magic had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.9 vs. 14.3) and had a better free throw rate (0.136 vs. 0.105).
Magic at Knicks ATS Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Knicks, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Orlando is 3-1 ATS with 2 overs and 2 unders.
At home, New York is 3-2-1 ATS with 3 overs and 3 unders.
In games where they allow below 100 points, Orlando and New York are both 1-0.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Knicks are 4-7 and the Magic are 4-2.
Orlando ranks eighth in assists per game (25.0) while New York ranks 29th (19.5).
The Magic rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Knicks rank 22nd (6.3).
Orlando averages 15.3 second chance points per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. New York ranks 20th in second chance points allowed per game (14.3).
The Knicks rank second in fast break points allowed per game (10.3) while the Magic rank 12th (12.8).
New York ranks 14th in rebounds per game (45.5) while Orlando ranks 21st in rebounds allowed per game (48.0).
The Magic rank fifth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while the Knicks rank 11th (7.3).
New York ranks 21st in points in the paint per game (45.4) while Orlando ranks 27th (42.2).
The Knicks average 19.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Magic rank 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.6).
Orlando ranks 15th in three pointers attempted per game (31.4) while New York ranks 17th in three pointers allowed per game (31.5).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, Orlando is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
New York is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.8, down from 7.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (2.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (1.7 above their season average).
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