The Phoenix Suns (4-17) go head-to-head with the Orlando Magic (10-12) at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 30, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Arizona.
Orlando Magic vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Prediction
Although the Magic were beaten by the Portland Trail Blazers in their last contest, 115-112, they did cover as 10-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (227) came in over the projected point total of 214.5. Portland won the rebounding battle. The Trail Blazers had 13 offensive rebounds and 47 total rebounds, while the Magic had three and 37, respectively. Nikola Vucevic led Orlando in scoring with 20 points on 8-for-12 shooting.
The last time the Suns took the floor, they fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 115-99. They failed to cover as 12-point underdogs. The game’s total points (214) finished well under the O/U total of 229. Los Angeles’ rebounding was their largest advantage. The Clippers had 18 offensive rebounds and 56 total rebounds, while the Suns had seven and 34, respectively. Devin Booker had a good game for Phoenix, leading the team in scoring with 23 points on 9-for-21 shooting.
Orlando heads into the contest with records of 10-12 straight up (SU) and 13-8-1 against the spread (ATS). Oddsmakers tend to place the total high when the Magic are involved, as 13 of their 22 games have gone under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Phoenix owns records of 4-17 SU and 8-13 ATS. Coinciding with Orlando, games including the Suns also have a tendency to finish under the total (57.1 percent).
After the Magic won both contests against the Suns last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the last game, Orlando won 105-99. The Magic had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.1 vs. 20.0) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.506 vs. 0.444).
Magic at Suns ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Magic, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Orlando is 7-2-1 ATS on the road with 5 overs and 5 unders.
Phoenix is 5-5 ATS at home with 7 unders and 3 overs.
Phoenix is 1-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Orlando is 2-1.
When reaching 100 points, the Suns are 4-10 and the Magic are 9-5.
Orlando ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Phoenix ranks 26th (9.4).
The Magic rank sixth in points allowed in the paint per game (45.7) while the Suns rank 28th (53.2).
Orlando ranks 10th in fast break points allowed per game (12.9) while Phoenix ranks 29th (17.8).
The Magic rank sixth in assists per game (26.4) while the Suns rank 25th in assists allowed per game (25.4).
Orlando ranks 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.2) while Phoenix ranks 28th (20.9).
The Magic rank 9 in blocks per game (5.681818181818182) while the Suns rank 25 (4.142857142857143).
Orlando ranks 15 in second chance points per game (13.363636363636363) while Phoenix ranks 28 (9.666666666666666).
The Suns rank 4 in three pointers allowed per game (28.61904761904762) while the Magic rank 13 (30.772727272727273).
Orlando ranks 24 in rebounds per game (42.13636363636363) while Phoenix ranks 28 (39.76190476190476).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, Orlando is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Magic’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 3.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 108.4 points per game (4.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.0 points per game (1.9 above their season average).
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