The San Antonio Spurs (6-2) take on the Orlando Magic (2-6) at the AT&T Center. The game will air on Fox Sports – Southwest at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 4, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212.5 points with San Antonio set as an 8.5-point favorite.
Orlando Magic at San Antonio Spurs Free Prediction
In the Magic’s last contest, they were thoroughly outplayed by the Los Angeles Clippers, 120-95, and were unable to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (215) finished under the O/U total of 219.5. One of Los Angeles’ largest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They had 33 free throw attempts, while Orlando had 19. Nikola Vucevic led Orlando in scoring with 22 points on 10-for-21 shooting.
The Spurs were victorious over the New Orleans Pelicans in their last outing, 109-95, despite being 6.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (204) came in under the projected point total of 215. The Spurs forced 16 turnovers and held the Pelicans to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.6 (below their season average of 26.0). With 22 points, 12 rebounds and six assists, LaMarcus Aldridge put together a solid game for San Antonio.
These two teams split two games last season. The Spurs won the most recent matchup 108-72. The Spurs made 19 of their 23 free throws (82.6 percent) and had a much better turnover percentage (11.3 vs. 18.9).
Orlando holds records of 2-6 straight up (SU) and 3-5 against the spread (ATS). Of the Magic’s eight games, six have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, San Antonio is 6-2 SU and 4-3 ATS. Unlike Orlando, Spurs games tend to finish over the projected point total (71.4 percent).
Looking at effective field goal percentage, San Antonio figures to have a considerable edge. Dating back to last season, the Spurs defense ranks ninth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.511), while the Orlando offense ranks 22nd in effective field goal percentage (0.507). Additionally, the Magic, who rank 24th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.178), could have a difficult time getting to the line against the Spurs, who rank second in opponents’ FTA rate (0.172).
Orlando Magic vs. San Antonio Spurs Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Orlando is 13-9 and San Antonio is 35-11.
In games where they score over 100 points, the Magic are 25-33 and the Spurs are 43-16.
San Antonio ranks 14th in second chance points per game (13.1) while Orlando ranks 27th (11.2).
The Spurs rank 13th in rebounds allowed per game (43.0) while the Magic rank 26th (46.3).
San Antonio ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while Orlando ranks 17th (16.9).
The Magic rank 17th in three pointers attempted per game (29.5) while the Spurs rank 28th (24.2).
Orlando ranks 18th in fast break points per game (12.4) while San Antonio ranks 28th (9.9).
The Spurs rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Magic rank 12th (4.9).
San Antonio ranks 17th in assists per game (22.8) while Orlando ranks 22nd in assists allowed per game (24.4).
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