The Yale Bulldogs (14-4, 4-1 Ivy) look to extend their seven-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Penn Quakers (14-7, 2-3 Ivy) at John J. Lee Amphitheater. The game begins at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 9, 2019.
Penn Quakers at Yale Bulldogs Betting Prediction
In the Quakers’ last game, they covered the 5-point spread against the Brown Bears, 92-82. The game’s total points (174) came in well over the O/U total of 139.5. One of Penn’s biggest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They made 28 trips to the line, nine more than Brown. Penn rallied around Devon Goodman, who led the team in scoring with 21 points on 8-for-11 shooting.
The Bulldogs beat the Princeton Tigers in their last game, 74-60, despite being 4.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (134) finished under the projected point total of 146. The Bulldogs made 14 of their 19 free throws (73.7 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.625 (above their season average of 0.551). Miye Oni was the game’s top scorer with 35 points on 13-for-18 shooting from the field.
After the Quakers won two out of three games against the Bulldogs last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, Penn won 80-57. The Quakers knocked down 15 of their 16 free throws (93.8 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (25.9 vs. 15.2).
Penn heads into the game with records of 14-7 straight up (SU) and 11-8 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Quakers games, with 10 overs compared to 9 unders.
Meanwhile, Yale owns records of 14-4 SU and 9-7 ATS. There does not appear to be a trend for Bulldogs games in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
This matchup pits one of the nation’s top offenses against one of its elite defensesYale currently ranks 31st in effective field goal percentage (0.554), while Penn is 60th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.477). Additionally, second chance points could be few and far between for the Quakers. They rank 257th in the NCAA in offensive rebounding percentage at 26.2 percent, while the Bulldogs are 38th-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 75.4 percent).
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs ATS Pick
Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Yale, ATS Winner – Penn, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Penn is 6-6 ATS with 8 unders and 4 overs.
At home, Yale is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Yale averages 40.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 12th in the nation. Penn ranks 200th in rebounds allowed per game (36.2).
The Quakers rank 16th in three pointers allowed per game (18.4) while the Bulldogs rank 203rd (23.9).
Penn ranks 12th in assists allowed per game (10.0) while Yale ranks 122nd (12.8).
The Quakers average 6.6 steals per game, which ranks 95th in the country. The Bulldogs rank 195th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
Penn ranks 47th in blocks allowed per game (2.8) while Yale ranks 109th (3.4).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five outings, Penn is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Yale is 3-1 ATS with 3 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Quakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.6, down from 5.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 72.2 points per game (8.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.2 points per game (6.5 below their season average).
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