The Pepperdine Waves (3-10, 0-1 WCC) will try to snap their six-game road losing streak in a matchup against the San Diego Toreros (10-3, 1-0 WCC) at Jenny Craig Pavilion. The game starts at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 30, 2017, and will air on ESPN Full Court.
Pepperdine Waves vs. San Diego Toreros ATS Prediction
In the Waves’ last matchup, they were topped by the Santa Clara Broncos, 72-65. Santa Clara’s 10.9 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Pepperdine, who had a rate of 22.1. The Broncos’ mark was better than their season average of 14.6, while the Waves’ was above their season average of 15.7. Trae Berhow had a solid game for Pepperdine, recording 15 points and seven rebounds.
The Toreros beat the San Francisco Dons in their last outing, 73-63. One of San Diego’s largest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They had 28 free throw attempts, while San Francisco had 15. Isaiah Pineiro was the top scorer from either team with 23 points on 7-for-18 shooting.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the NCAA’s slowest-paced teams face off. San Diego currently ranks 292nd in possessions per game (67.9) and Pepperdine is 256th (69.0).
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Waves won the most recent game 65-60. Pepperdine had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.573 vs. 0.443). San Diego, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.3 vs. 15.6).
Pepperdine Waves vs. San Diego Toreros Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pepperdine, ATS Winner – Pepperdine, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
San Diego ranks first in assists allowed per game (8.6) while Pepperdine ranks 245th (18.2).
The Toreros rank 13th in three pointers allowed per game (17.0) while the Waves rank 222nd (25.5).
San Diego ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (1.8) while Pepperdine ranks 137th (4.2).
The Waves rank 20th in rebounds allowed per game (30.8) while the Toreros rank 134th (34.8).
San Diego ranks 34th in steals allowed per game (5.2) while Pepperdine ranks 103rd (6.5).
Bettings Trends:
The Waves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.0, down from 5.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Toreros have scored an average of 79.6 points per game (7.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 62.0 points per game (0.8 above their season average).