It will be a battle between Atlantic Division opponents when the Brooklyn Nets (8-12) welcome the Philadelphia 76ers (13-8) to the Barclays Center. The game will air on YES Network at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 25, 2018.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Brooklyn Nets ATS Prediction
In the 76ers’ last matchup, they were 13-point favorites and were defeated by the Cleveland Cavaliers, 121-112. The total points for the game (233) were well over the projected point total of 217.5. Cleveland won the rebounding battle. The Cavaliers had more offensive rebounds (14 vs. four), defensive rebounds (28 vs. 27) and total rebounds (42 vs. 31). Joel Embiid led Philadelphia in scoring with 24 points on 8-for-13 shooting.
The Nets lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last matchup, 112-102. They failed to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (214) came in under the projected point total of 221.5. Minnesota’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Brooklyn. The Timberwolves posted a mark of 6.6 (better than their season average of 12.3), while the Nets had a rate of 16.6 (above their season average of 11.9). Brooklyn’s Spencer Dinwiddie contributed 18 points and eight assists in the contest.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the 76ers lost 122-97, unable to cover as 4-point favorites. Ben Simmons put up 20 points and 12 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 219 points, which was just 3.5 points below the projected point total of 222.5 points. The Nets had a much better turnover percentage (7.4 vs. 24.5) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (28.8 vs. 28.1).
Philadelphia has a respectable 13-8 straight up (SU) record, but they have difficulty covering the spread (8-13 against the spread (ATS)). Games featuring the 76ers have typically gone over the total (66.7 percent).
Meanwhile, Brooklyn is 8-12 SU and 9-11 ATS. Nets games have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Dinwiddie has averaged 18 points,6.8 assists,1.2 steals over the last five games for Brooklyn.
The aggressive Philadelphia offense might be living from the foul line in this showdown. The 76ers rank second in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.261, while Brooklyn ranks 27th in FTA rate allowed (0.238).
Philadelphia 76ers at Brooklyn Nets Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS with 6 overs and 4 unders.
At home, Brooklyn is 2-6 ATS with 5 overs and 3 unders.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Brooklyn is 4-0 and Philadelphia is 3-0.
The Nets are 8-11 when they score over 100 points, while the 76ers are 13-6.
Philadelphia ranks 12th in fast break points per game (14.7) while Brooklyn ranks last (8.8).
The 76ers average 47.9 rebounds per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Nets rank 20th in rebounds allowed per game (46.0).
Brooklyn ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (25.1) while Philadelphia ranks 14th (31.1).
The 76ers rank fifth in assists per game (26.2) while the Nets rank 17th (23.4).
Brooklyn averages 49.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Philadelphia ranks 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.1).
The Nets rank 7 in second chance points per game (14.8) while the 76ers rank 17 in second chance points allowed per game (13.952380952380953).
Philadelphia ranks 18 in points off turnovers per game (16.61904761904762) while Brooklyn ranks 26 (15.05).
Neither of these teams are great at stealing the ball. The Nets are 26 in the NBA with 6.7 steals per game while the 76ers are 27 with 6.571428571428571 steals per game.
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Over its last five outings, Philadelphia is 2-3 ATS with 5 overs.
Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The 76ers have outscored opponents by an average of 1.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Philadelphia has lost by an average of 0.1 points.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 110.6 points per game (1.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (0.1 above their season average).
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