The Philadelphia 76ers (6-5) will try to snap their five-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Indiana Pacers (7-4) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 7, 2018, and will air on ESPN.
Indiana opened as a 2.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216 points.
Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers ATS Prediction
The 76ers are hoping for a better outcome after not being able to cover as 4-point favorites in their 122-97 loss to the Brooklyn Nets in their last matchup. The game’s total points (219) finished under the O/U total of 222.5. Brooklyn’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Philadelphia. The Nets had a rate of 7.4 (better than their season average of 14.1), while the 76ers posted a mark of 24.5 (above their season average of 12.7). Ben Simmons was Philadelphia’s leading scorer with 20 points on 8-for-11 shooting.
The last time the Pacers took the court, they were beaten by the Houston Rockets, 98-94, despite being 1-point favorites. The total points for the game (192) finished well under the O/U total of 215.5. Houston’s 0.539 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Indiana, who had a mark of 0.493. The Rockets’ mark was above their season average of 0.499, while the Pacers’ was below their season average of 0.547. Victor Oladipo put together a solid game for Indiana, leading both teams in scoring with 28 points on 11-for-21 shooting.
Indiana appears to have the edge on the defensive side of the ball. The Pacers currently rank ninth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.508), while Philadelphia is 23rd in effective field goal percentage (0.503). Ball protection could be troublesome for the 76ers. They rank 27th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 15.1 percent), while the Pacers force the fifth-most turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.4 percent).
Philadelphia heads into the game with records of 6-5 straight up (SU) and 4-7 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of the 76ers’ games have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Indiana owns records of 7-4 SU and 5-5-1 ATS. Vegas is known to set the total high when the Pacers are involved, as seven of their 11 games have finished under the O/U total.
Oladipo has averaged 23.6 points, 8.8 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 2.2 steals over the last five games for Indiana.
After the Pacers won two out of three matchups against the 76ers last season, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. In the last contest, Indiana won 101-98. Indiana had a much better turnover percentage (7.8 vs. 19.9). Philadelphia, on the other hand, had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.533 vs. 0.426).
76ers vs. Pacers Odds Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS on the road with 3 overs and 2 unders.
At home, Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Philadelphia is 2-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Indiana is 2-1.
The Pacers are 7-1 when they reach 100 points, while the 76ers are 6-3.
Philadelphia ranks third in rebounds per game (49.7) while Indiana ranks 28th (40.9).
The Pacers rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.3) while the 76ers rank 18th (50.2).
Philadelphia ranks fifth in assists per game (25.8) while Indiana ranks 21st (22.5).
The 76ers rank 11th in three pointers attempted per game (33.0) while the Pacers rank 26th (24.0).
Indiana averages 20.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 17th in points off turnovers given up per game (17.6).
The 76ers rank 13th in blocks per game (5.6) while the Pacers rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.9).
Indiana ranks eighth in steals per game (8.5) while Philadelphia ranks 11th in steals allowed per game (7.3).
The Pacers average 12.9 second chance points per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. The 76ers rank 20th in second chance points allowed per game (15.2).
Philadelphia averages 14.5 fast break points per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. Indiana ranks 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.3).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS with 5 unders over its last five games.
The 76ers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.4, down from 1.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 100.6 points per game (6.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.6 points per game (0.7 below their season average).
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