The Indiana Pacers (29-24) will attempt to lengthen their five-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers (25-24) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 3, 2018.
Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers ATS Prediction
In the 76ers’ last contest, they topped the Miami Heat, 103-97. Philadelphia’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Miami. The 76ers had a rate of 0.541 (above their season average of 0.526), while the Heat posted a mark of 0.460 (below their season average of 0.521). Dario Saric had a good game for Philadelphia, recording 17 points and 10 rebounds.
The Pacers fell to the Charlotte Hornets in their last matchup, 133-126. Charlotte’s 31.4 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Indiana, who had a rate of 17.9. The Hornets’ mark was above their season average of 23.0. Indiana’s Victor Oladipo had a good performance, leading the team in scoring with 35 points on 11-for-21 shooting.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, this appears to be a balanced contest. The sweet-shooting Indiana offense ranks fifth in the NBA in that metric at 0.537, while the elite Philadelphia defense is ranked second in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.494). Moreover, the 76ers could control the offensive glass in this contest as they rank third in the league in offensive rebounding percentage at 25.6 percent. The Pacers, meanwhile, rank 27th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.9 percent).
Philadelphia holds records of 25-24 straight up (SU) and 26-22 against the spread (ATS). Of the 76ers’ 48 games with betting action, 26 have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Indiana owns records of 29-24 SU and 28-24 ATS. Of the Pacers’ 52 games with betting action, 29 have finished under the total.
Darren Collison has averaged 14.8 points, 5.6 assists and 2.8 steals over the last five games for Indiana.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Pacers lost 121-110, unable to cover as 5-point underdogs. Oladipo recorded 31 points, seven assists and five rebounds. The game finished with a total of 231 points, which was 14 points above the projected point total of 217 points. Philadelphia had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.3 vs. 17.4). Indiana, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (9.5 vs. 15.5).
Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Philadelphia is 13-14 ATS with 16 overs and 11 unders.
Indiana is 15-13 ATS at home with 16 unders, 11 overs and 1 push.
When allowing below 100 points, Philadelphia is 10-0 and Indiana is 16-2.
The Pacers are 25-11 when they score above 100 points, while the 76ers are 22-16.
Indiana ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while Philadelphia ranks last (19.2).
The Pacers rank fifth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the 76ers rank 29th (8.9).
Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds per game (46.7) while Indiana ranks 25th (41.4).
The 76ers rank third in points allowed in the paint per game (41.6) while the Pacers rank 23rd (46.0).
Philadelphia averages 25.5 assists per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Indiana ranks 19th in assists allowed per game (23.2).
The 76ers average 13.6 second chance points per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Pacers rank 20th in second chance points allowed per game (13.0).
Indiana ranks third in fast break points per game (15.0) while Philadelphia ranks 18th (10.1).
The 76ers average 5.1 blocks per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The Pacers rank 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
Philadelphia ranks 17th in three pointers attempted per game (28.6) while Indiana ranks 25th (24.7).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Philadelphia is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Indiana is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push over their last five games.
The 76ers have been outscored by an average of 1.0 point in their last five games. For the season, Philadelphia has defeated opponents by an average of 1.1 points.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 111.6 points per game (4.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (5.6 above their season average).
