The Miami Heat (1-1) clash with the Philadelphia 76ers (1-1) at AmericanAirlines Arena in game three of the First Round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, April 19, 2018, and will air on TNT.
Philadelphia opened as a 2-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216 points.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat ATS Prediction
In game two, Wade scored a game-high 28 points and the Heat defeated the 76ers 113-103, covering as 6.5-point underdogs. He also recorded seven rebounds. The game finished with a total of 216 points, which was just 1 points below the projected point total of 217 points. Miami was effective at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Heat made 24 of their 30 free throws (80.0 percent), while the 76ers were 16-22 (72.7 percent).
The offense of Miami (20th in the league with an offensive efficiency of 105.4) will face off against the stingy defense of Philadelphia (third in the league with a defensive efficiency of 102.8). The 76ers should have the edge on that end of the court. It will also be a matchup of opposite tempos as the fast-paced 76ers rank fourth in possessions per game, while the more methodical Heat rank 21st.
Philadelphia comes into the contest with records of 53-31 straight up (SU) and 49-35 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of 76ers games, with 42 overs compared to 41 unders.
Meanwhile, Miami owns records of 45-39 SU and 42-38-4 ATS. Contrary to Philadelphia, a little over half of Heat games have finished under the total.
Marco Belinelli has averaged 19.2 points and 1.4 steals over the last five games for Philadelphia.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Philadelphia is 21-21 ATS on the road with 23 overs and 19 unders.
Miami is 17-22-2 ATS at home with 21 unders, 18 overs and 2 pushes.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Philadelphia is 22-0 and Miami is 27-6.
When scoring over 100 points, the 76ers are 50-19 and the Heat are 33-19.
Philadelphia ranks fourth in second chance points per game (13.9) while Miami ranks 24th (11.2).
The 76ers rank first in rebounds per game (47.5) while the Heat rank 17th (43.5).
Miami averages 5.4 blocks per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
The Heat rank 12th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while the 76ers rank 26th (8.4).
Miami ranks 13th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.7) while Philadelphia ranks 27th (18.3).
The 76ers rank second in assists per game (27.1) while the Heat rank 16th (22.7).
Philadelphia ranks 17th in fast break points per game (11.4) while Miami ranks 27th (9.3).
The Heat rank ninth in three pointers attempted per game (30.4) while the 76ers rank 17th in three pointers allowed per game (29.5).
Philadelphia ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.4) while Miami ranks ninth (43.7).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Philadelphia is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Miami is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 14.4, up from 4.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 104.6 points per game (1.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.8 points per game (12.5 above their season average).
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