The Charlotte Hornets (7-7) clash with the Philadelphia 76ers (10-7) at the Spectrum Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 17, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports Carolina.
Charlotte is a 2-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 226 points.
Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets ATS Prediction
In the 76ers’ last matchup, they beat the Utah Jazz, 113-107, as 5.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (220) finished just over the O/U total of 217.5. The 76ers had a great effective field goal percentage of 0.567 (above their season average of 0.517) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.6 (above their season average of 22.5). With 28 points on 12-for-15 shooting, Jimmy Butler led Philadelphia in scoring.
The Hornets lost big to the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last matchup, 113-89, despite being 8.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (202) finished under the O/U total of 214. Cleveland’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Charlotte. The Cavaliers had a rate of 35.9 (above their season average of 27.0), while the Hornets posted a mark of 20.7. Jeremy Lamb had a solid performance for Charlotte, leading the team in scoring with 22 points on 8-for-16 shooting.
The 76ers have emerged victorious in both contests against the Hornets this year, including a close 133-132 victory the last time these teams met. Philadelphia was unable to cover as a 6-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 265 points, which was 38 points above the projected point total of 227 points. The 76ers made 31 of their 41 free throws (75.6 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.543 vs. 0.464). Joel Embiid put up a double-double in the victory with 42 points and 18 rebounds.
Philadelphia heads into the contest with records of 10-7 straight up (SU) and 6-10 against the spread (ATS). Oddsmakers tend to place the total low when the 76ers are playing, as nine of their 16 games have ended over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Charlotte owns records of 7-7 SU and 9-5 ATS. Unlike Philadelphia, Hornets games have typically finished under the projected point total (57.1 percent).
Lamb has averaged 14.4 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.4 steals over the last five games for Charlotte.
Charlotte should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Charlotte ranks first in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 11.4 percent), while Philadelphia forces the first-fewest turnovers (11.1 percent).
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Charlotte Hornets Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Philadelphia is 2-7 ATS with 5 overs and 4 unders.
Charlotte is 4-2 ATS at home with 3 overs and 3 unders.
Philadelphia is 3-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Charlotte is 2-0.
When reaching 100 points, the Hornets are 7-6 and the 76ers are 10-5.
Charlotte ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while Philadelphia ranks 25th (19.7).
The 76ers average 5.8 blocks per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Hornets rank 27th in blocks allowed per game (6.9).
Philadelphia averages 48.3 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Charlotte ranks 19th in rebounds allowed per game (46.2).
The Hornets rank sixth in second chance points per game (15.4) while the 76ers rank 19th in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).
Charlotte averages 34.8 three pointers per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Philadelphia ranks 16th in three pointers allowed per game (31.6).
The 76ers average 26.4 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Hornets rank 13th in assists allowed per game (23.4).
Charlotte ranks 20th in steals per game (6.9) while Philadelphia ranks 27th (6.4).
The Hornets average 47.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. The 76ers rank 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.2).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, Philadelphia is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Charlotte is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The 76ers have outscored opponents by an average of 1.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Philadelphia has lost by an average of 0.1 points.
During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 114.6 points per game (0.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.0 points per game (0.4 below their season average).
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