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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Preview 04/04/18

John Geliebter-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia 76ers (47-30) take on the Detroit Pistons (37-40) look to continue their winning streaks when they go head-to-head at Little Caesars Arena. The 76ers have won 11 consecutive games, while the Pistons have won their last five games. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 4, 2018.

Detroit opened as a 1.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 210 points.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Prediction

The 76ers come in on a high note after blowing out the Brooklyn Nets in their last matchup, 121-95. The 76ers held the Nets to an offensive rebounding percentage of 5.9 (below their season average of 21.5) and had a turnover percentage of 9.1 (better than their season average of 14.4). Ben Simmons played a key role for Philadelphia with 15 points, 12 rebounds and six assists.

The last time the Pistons played, they defeated the Brooklyn Nets, 108-96. The Pistons knocked down 25 of their 32 free throws (78.1 percent) and held the Nets to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.2 (below their season average of 21.6). Reggie Jackson was the game’s leading scorer with 29 points on 9-for-22 shooting.

The offense of Detroit (20th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 105.2) will face off against the elite defense of Philadelphia (fourth in the league with a defensive efficiency of 102.7). The 76ers should have the advantage on that side of the ball.

Philadelphia comes into the contest with records of 47-30 straight up (SU) and 45-31 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is extremely accurate when setting the O/U total of 76ers games, with an even split between overs and unders.

Meanwhile, Detroit is 37-40 SU and 38-37-2 ATS. Of the Pistons’ 77 games, 43 have finished under the total.

Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Simmons (13.6 points, 12.0 assists, 10.6 rebounds, 1.2 steals and 1.2 blocks) has been stellar for the 76ers while Anthony Tolliver (14.2 points) has contributed greatly to the Pistons.

The 76ers have emerged victorious in all three games against the Pistons this year, including a 36-point blowout in their last matchup. Philadelphia covered as a 6-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 192 points, which was 18 points below the projected point total of 210 points. The 76ers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.7 vs. 12.5) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.567 vs. 0.429). Simmons was a top performer in the victory, with 19 points and nine assists.

Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons Free Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

On the road, Philadelphia is 20-20 ATS with 21 overs and 19 unders.

At home, Detroit is 18-19-1 ATS with 19 unders, 18 overs and 1 push.

In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Detroit is 21-6 and Philadelphia is 20-0.

When scoring more than 100 points, the 76ers are 44-18 and the Pistons are 33-17.

Philadelphia averages 26.7 assists per game, which ranks second in the league. Detroit ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (25.0).

The Pistons rank sixth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while the 76ers rank 28th (18.7).

Detroit ranks eighth in steals allowed per game (7.2) while Philadelphia ranks 26th (8.6).

The 76ers rank ninth in blocks per game (5.1) while the Pistons rank 27th (3.9).

Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds per game (47.3) while Detroit ranks 18th in rebounds allowed per game (43.7).

The 76ers average 29.6 three pointers per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Pistons rank 24th in three pointers allowed per game (30.5).

Philadelphia ranks fifth in second chance points per game (13.5) while Detroit ranks 13th (12.7).

The 76ers rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.4) while the Pistons rank eighth (43.4).

Detroit leads the league with 9.7 fast break points allowed per game while Philadelphia is fourth with 10.3 fast break points allowed per game.

Bettings Trends:

In their last five games, Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS with 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push.

Detroit is 5-0 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.

The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 17.8, up from 4.0 for the season.

During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 111.0 points per game (7.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 99.6 points per game (4.0 below their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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