The Philadelphia 76ers (8-5) will have their hands full against the league’s top scoring defense when they go head-to-head with the Memphis Grizzlies (6-4) at FedExForum. The game begins at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 10, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 210 points with neither team favored.
Philadelphia 76ers at Memphis Grizzlies Free Prediction
In the 76ers’ last contest, they defeated the Charlotte Hornets, 133-132, but they were unable to cover as 2.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (265) came in well over the projected point total of 217. The 76ers made 31 of their 41 free throws (75.6 percent) and held the Hornets to an effective field goal percentage of 0.464 (below their season average of 0.539). With 42 points on 11-for-18 shooting, Joel Embiid was the game’s leading scorer.
The Grizzlies edged the Denver Nuggets in their last game, 89-87, despite being 3-point underdogs. The game’s total points (176) finished well under the O/U total of 204. Memphis was effective at getting and making free throws. The Grizzlies made 21 of their 25 free throws (84.0 percent), while the Nuggets were 15-19 (78.9 percent). Marc Gasol was the game’s top scorer with 20 points on 6-for-13 shooting from the field.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, the 76ers won 119-105. Philadelphia had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.613 vs. 0.449). Memphis, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.6 vs. 11.1).
Philadelphia has a solid 8-5 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 5-7 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is exceedingly accurate when setting the total of 76ers games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, Memphis owns records of 6-4 SU and 6-4 ATS. Of the Grizzlies’ 10 games, 7 have finished under the projected point total.
Memphis should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Memphis ranks fifth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.0 percent), while Philadelphia forces the fewest turnovers (10.8 percent). This game should be a showdown of contrasting paces. The up-tempo 76ers rank fifth in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Grizzlies rank 30th.
Philadelphia 76ers at Memphis Grizzlies Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS with 3 overs and 3 unders.
Memphis is 4-0 ATS at home with 2 overs and 2 unders.
In contests where they allow below 100 points, Philadelphia is 3-0 and Memphis is 4-1.
The Grizzlies are 4-2 when they reach the century mark, while the 76ers are 8-3.
Philadelphia ranks third in rebounds per game (49.8) while Memphis ranks 29th (37.3).
The Grizzlies rank second in steals per game (10.2) while the 76ers rank 22nd (6.5).
Memphis averages 21.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks second in the league. Philadelphia ranks 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.0).
The 76ers rank third in blocks per game (6.5) while the Grizzlies rank 20th (4.0).
Philadelphia ranks 12th in three pointers attempted per game (33.2) while Memphis ranks 26th (27.1).
The 76ers rank fourth in assists per game (26.2) while the Grizzlies rank 18th in assists allowed per game (23.9).
Memphis ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (41.2) while Philadelphia ranks 15th (48.9).
The 76ers rank 17th in second chance points per game (12.9) while the Grizzlies rank 28th (9.5).
Philadelphia ranks eighth in fast break points per game (15.9) while Memphis ranks 18th in fast break points allowed per game (15.0).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five outings, Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Memphis is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The 76ers have outscored opponents by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Philadelphia has lost by an average of 0.5 points.
During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 101.4 points per game (0.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.2 points per game (0.4 below their season average).
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