The Milwaukee Bucks (26-22) challenge the Philadelphia 76ers (24-22) at BMO Harris Bradley Center. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, January 29, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks Free Prediction
The 76ers are trying to rebound after their 122-112 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last outing. Oklahoma City’s 8.7 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Philadelphia, who had a rate of 13.5. The Thunder’s mark was better than their season average of 12.2. Joel Embiid was Philadelphia’s high scorer with 27 points on 10-for-16 shooting.
In the Bucks’ last matchup, they defeated the Chicago Bulls, 110-96. The Bucks had a better free throw rate (0.195 vs. 0.138) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.617 (above their season average of 0.533). Giannis Antetokounmpo was the game’s high scorer with 27 points on 11-for-19 shooting.
This matchup pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defensesMilwaukee ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.535), while Philadelphia is second in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.492). This game should be a battle of opposite styles. The up-tempo 76ers rank third in possessions per game, while the more methodical Bucks rank 26th.
Philadelphia holds records of 24-22 straight up (SU) and 26-19 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of the 76ers’ games have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee is 26-22 SU and 20-22-5 ATS. Games featuring the Bucks have typically finished over the total (55.3 percent).
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Dario Saric (17.4 points, 8.0 rebounds and 3.2 assists) has been great for the 76ers while Khris Middleton (24.6 points, 6.8 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 1.8 steals) has made great contributions to the Bucks.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Middleton had 23 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists in the first game, in which the Bucks lost 116-94, unable to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 210 points, which was just 1 points above the projected point total of 209 points. The 76ers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.9 vs. 19.0) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.588 vs. 0.463).
Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Philadelphia is 13-11 ATS on the road with 14 overs and 10 unders.
Milwaukee is 9-13-3 ATS at home with 13 overs, 11 unders and 1 push.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Philadelphia is 9-0 and Milwaukee is 11-3.
When reaching the century mark, the 76ers are 21-15 and the Bucks are 22-12.
Philadelphia ranks first in rebounds per game (47.3) while Milwaukee ranks last (38.6).
The Bucks rank fifth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the 76ers rank 28th (9.2).
Milwaukee ranks seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.1) while Philadelphia ranks last (19.7).
The 76ers rank seventh in second chance points per game (13.6) while the Bucks rank 29th (9.8).
Milwaukee ranks third in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Philadelphia ranks 23rd (5.2).
The 76ers rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (41.9) while the Bucks rank 18th (45.0).
Philadelphia ranks third in assists per game (25.7) while Milwaukee ranks 14th (22.6).
The 76ers rank 16th in three pointers attempted per game (29.0) while the Bucks rank 26th (24.5).
Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (8.1) while Philadelphia ranks eighth (10.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.2, up from 1.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 106.0 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.8 points per game (2.8 below their season average).
