The Sacramento Kings will travel to the Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers. The game starts at 7:00 pm ET on Friday, Mar. 13 and will air on CSN-CA and CSN-PHI.
The 76ers were beaten by the Bulls 104-95 on Wednesday. Ish Smith was the team’s high scorer, finishing with 23. The Kings, meanwhile, are coming off a 113-106 win over the Hornets on Wednesday. Ben McLemore led the game in scoring with 27 points on 10-for-16 shooting.
It could be a sloppy game for the Kings offense, which ranks 27th in the league in ball security (turnover percentage of 16.0%). They’ll be facing the ball-hawking Philadelphia defense, which forces the second-most turnovers in the NBA (16.3%).
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable at the moment. The 76ers look to improve upon their records of 14-50 Straight Up (SU) and 32-30-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They have performed well enough in the Western Conference to earn an ATS record of 14-9-1, but only have a SU record of 4-20. The 76ers are the top team in the league at taking the ball away from their opponents, averaging 9.8 steals per game.
Across the court, Sacramento has a SU record of 22-41 and an ATS record of 25-36-2. Sacramento has been particularly bad ATS over its past ten matchups, going 3-7. The Kings are getting to the foul line at a high rate, with an NBA-best 1,439 free throws made (22.8 per game).
The 76ers and the Kings will be facing off in their first head-to-head contest of the season. When they last met the Kings were winners, but the 76ers still lead the head-to-head record, 8-2 SU, over the last 10 matchups. Additionally, with an 8-2 record, the 76ers have the advantage ATS. Philadelphia had the advantage in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) three times over the last 10. Sacramento has never had the edge in all categories.
Predictions: SU Winner – PHI, ATS Winner – PHI
Notes
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Philadelphia’s last 18 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing Sacramento.
Philadelphia is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Sacramento.
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento.
Sacramento is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia scores an average of 90.7 points per game (ranked 30th), while Sacramento gives up 105.1 points per game (ranked 28th).
Philadelphia and Sacramento are well matched, ranking 29th in points per home game and points allowed per away game respectively. Philadelphia puts up an average of 94.2 points per home game, while Sacramento allows 107.7 points per away game on average.
When giving up fewer than 100 points, the Philadelphia 76ers have a 13-17 record. When they don’t reach the century mark, the Sacramento Kings have an abysmal record of 5-23.
Philadelphia is an underachieving 1-33 when it gives up 100 or more points. Sacramento has a 17-18 record when it hits the century mark.
The 76ers have an offensive rating of 91.7 (ranked 30th). The Kings rank 27th for their defensive rating of 105.9.
Sacramento beats Philadelphia in both possessions per game and points per possession. The Kings average 99.2 possessions and 1.017 points per possession, while the 76ers average 98.9 possessions with .917 points per possession.
The Philadelphia 76ers average an effective field goal percentage of 45.7% this season. The Sacramento Kings have a subpar record of 9-39 when opponents have an EFF% of 45.7% or greater.
On average, the Philadelphia 76ers attempt 25.2 three point field goals per game and the Sacramento Kings attempt 16.0 per game. In games where they attempt at least 25 threes, both teams have losing records; Philadelphia is 3-30 and Sacramento is 1-3.
The Kings have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.24 this season (ranked 29th), while the 76ers rank last in the league with an A/TO of 1.16.
The 76ers rank 19th in rebounds per game with 42.9, while the Kings rank eighth with 44.6 per game.
The Sacramento Kings rank 13th in offensive rebounding, while the Philadelphia 76ers rank 26th in defensive rebounding.
Philadelphia is one of the top teams in forced turnovers, with opponents averaging a TOV% of 16.3% (ranked second). Sacramento has a subpar record of 6-23 SU this season when its TOV% reaches 16.3% or greater.
